Drogheda United vs Derry City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Irish Premier Division Drogheda United - Derry City
Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier Division - Round 32
Drogheda United - Derry City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.57
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
2019
Shots on target
98
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
51% (133/261)66% (240/366)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.951.98
Total shots
2019
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
76
Shots inside the Box
1413
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2325
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
167
Passes
51% (133/261)66% (240/366)
Long passes
26% (24/91)36% (30/83)
Passes in final third
37% (40/108)56% (73/131)
Crosses
8% (1/12)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.18
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
716
Tackles
75% (12/16)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4637
Clearances
1337
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
86
xGOT faced
1.980.95
Goals prevented
0.98-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Cann H. 🟨,
  • 36', Keeley C. 🟨,
  • 38', Diallo S. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Kareem D. , Keeley C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Connolly M. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Mullen D. ,
  • 65', Farrell S. , Heeney L. ,
  • 70', Kareem D. , Davis W. ,
  • 78', Connolly M. , Dummigan C. ,
  • 83', Winchester C. 🟨,
  • 86', Markey D. 🟨,
  • 86', Mullen D. , Whyte G. ,
  • 87', Thomas J. , Stretton J. ,
  • 90', O'Reilly A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Drogheda United
26.7%
Draw
31.9%
Derry City
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 29% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 28.3% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Drogheda United - Derry City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (3.37)
    2.93
    (3.2)
    2.26
    (2.14)
    6.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Drogheda United - Derry City?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Drogheda United will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Derry will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derry: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 3.
    • Drogheda United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Derry has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Derry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Derry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Drogheda United: Ahui E. (Knee Injury) Bawa Z. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Derry: Boyce L. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Drogheda United: Brady S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Derry: Akinyemi D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Drogheda United won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Drogheda United - Derry City were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Derry City - Drogheda United 1:2
    27.06.2025 Derry City - Drogheda United 3:0
    16.05.2025 Drogheda United - Derry City 1:1
    11.04.2025 Derry City - Drogheda United 1:3
    10.11.2024 Drogheda United - Derry City 2:0
    Latest results of Drogheda United
    Latest results of Derry City
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers32189553:282563
    2Derry City33159947:371054
    3Shelbourne331313742:34852
    4Bohemians321551242:33950
    5Drogheda331114835:33247
    6St. Patricks3212101040:31946
    7Sligo Rovers331071638:49-1137
    8Waterford331141838:56-1837
    9Galway328101433:41-834
    10Cork City334111832:58-2623

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Drogheda United - Derry City?
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