Derry City vs Drogheda United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Irish Premier Division Derry City - Drogheda United
Result
3:0
27/06/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier Division - Round 22
  • Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)
Derry City - Drogheda United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.700.61
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
85% (632/740)61% (165/269)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
2.700.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.960.09
Total shots
207
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
88
Passes
85% (632/740)61% (165/269)
Long passes
49% (36/74)31% (24/78)
Passes in final third
79% (161/205)38% (36/96)
Crosses
35% (6/17)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.37
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
88
Tackles
71% (12/17)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5548
Clearances
4120
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.092.96
Goals prevented
0.09-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Todd S. , Duffy M. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Boyce R. ,
  • 38', Heeney L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Kane C. , Cruise K. ,
  • 55', Brennan R. , Brady S. ,
  • 57', Quinn A. 🟨,
  • 60', Farrell S. , Markey D. ,
  • 60', Oluwa T. , Kareem D. ,
  • 63', Diallo S. , O'Reilly A. ,
  • 75', Boyce L. , Benson R. ,
  • 75', Whyte G. , Mullen D. ,
  • 76', Winchester C. , McMullan P. ,
  • 77', Brady S. 🟨,
  • 88', James-Taylor D. , Bosakani B. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 0, Mullen D. ,

Chances of winning


Derry City
57.5%
Draw
26.9%
Drogheda United
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 27.8% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 30.9% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derry City's performance.
  • Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Drogheda United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Derry City - Drogheda United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.83)
    3.42
    (3.38)
    5.91
    (4.45)
    7.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Derry City - Drogheda United?
  • Users Predictions: Derry City will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.92%96.82%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derry City will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Drogheda United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Derry is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Drogheda United were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Drogheda United - Derry City 1:1
    11.04.2025 Derry City - Drogheda United 1:3
    10.11.2024 Drogheda United - Derry City 2:0
    27.09.2024 Drogheda United - Derry City 2:1
    28.06.2024 Derry City - Drogheda United 5:1
    Latest results of Derry City
    Latest results of Drogheda United
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers24146442:212148
    2Derry City22114728:22637
    3Bohemians22121927:22537
    4Drogheda24811528:25335
    5Shelbourne24711627:26132
    6St. Patricks2487927:27031
    7Galway2278727:26129
    8Waterford22831124:35-1127
    9Sligo Rovers22541326:37-1119
    10Cork City22291123:38-1515

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Derry City - Drogheda United?
    It is being streamed on channel
    irelandIrelandLOI TV
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