Dourados vs Caxias: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa do Brasil Dourados - Caxias
Result
0:2
26/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals
Dourados - Caxias - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Carlinhos 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Vinicius Guedes 🟨,
  • 59', Richard , Gabriel Lima ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Tomas Bastos (Pen),
  • 69', Welder , Iago ,
  • 72', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
  • 74', Diego Rosa , Villela I. ,
  • 75', Bahia , Barcos G. ,
  • 76', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
  • 79', Pedro Cuiaba , Paulinho Souza ,
  • 79', Vinicius Guedes , Guilherme Mantuan ,
  • 82', Flaviano , Souza Xavier T. R. ,
  • 82', Hippolito , Joao Vitor ,
  • 83', Guilherme Mantuan 🟨,
  • 87', Tomas Bastos 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 2, Tomas Bastos ,

Chances of winning


Dourados
22.7%
Draw
33.2%
Caxias
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 26% 52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3% 24.8% 50.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dourados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caxias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dourados than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dourados - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.1
    (4.32)
    2.77
    (3.55)
    2.1
    (1.75)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Dourados is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Caxias is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Dourados could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Dourados have a series of home games.
    • In this match Caxias is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Dourados
    15.02.2025 Dourados - Naviraiense 2:0
    05.02.2025 Dourados - Coxim 2:2
    29.01.2025 Dourados - Operário MS 1:0
    26.01.2025 Dourados - Águia Negra 3:0
    18.01.2025 Pantanal - Dourados 1:1
    Latest results of Caxias
    22.02.2025 Caxias - Internacional RS 0:2
    12.02.2025 Guarany de Bagé - Caxias 0:0
    08.02.2025 Caxias - São Luiz 1:0
    05.02.2025 Avenida - Caxias 0:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1SantosBye
    4ByeCRB
    5CruzeiroBye
    7Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    8Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    18Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    20ByeCorinthians
    21SergipeCeara0 : 2
    22ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    24ByePalmeiras
    25Sao PauloBye
    27MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    28Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    29TremBrusque0 : 2
    30OlariaABC1 : 0
    31Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    32Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    33Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    34BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    35Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    36BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    37HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    38CSETombense1 : 3
    39Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    40Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    41Botafogo RJBye
    43Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    44CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    45Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    46GASRemo0 : 4
    47SousaBragantino1 : 2
    48OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3
    49Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    50DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    51CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    52VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    53InternacionalBye
    55CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    56MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    57ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    58JequieRetro1 : 2
    60ByeFortaleza
    61Paysandu PABye
    64ByeBahia

    1/32-finals
    1SantosBye
    2ByeCRB
    3CruzeiroBye
    4Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    10ByeCorinthians
    11CearaConfianca3 : 2
    12ByePalmeiras
    13Sao PauloBye
    14VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    15BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    16Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    17Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    18GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    19Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    20VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    21Botafogo RJBye
    22Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    23CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    24BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1
    25FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    26CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    27InternacionalBye
    28CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    29Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    30ByeFortaleza
    31Paysandu PABye
    32ByeBahia

    1/16-finals
    1SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    6CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    7Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    8BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    10Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    12CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0
    13FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    14InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    15RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    16Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CRBCruzeiro0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CorinthiansPalmeiras2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4Sao PauloAthletico-PR0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5CSAVasco1 : 3, 0 : 0
    6Botafogo RJBragantino1 : 0, 2 : 0
    7FluminenseInternacional1 : 1, 2 : 1
    8RetroBahia0 : 0, 2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG
    2CorinthiansAthletico-PR
    3VascoBotafogo RJ
    4FluminenseBahia

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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