Leones Negros UdeG vs Dorados: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados
04/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Leones Negros UdeG
66.1%
Draw
19.4%
Dorados
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 19.7% 14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 14.8% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones Negros UdeG that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.41)
    4.8
    (4.7)
    6.47
    (6.37)
    7.2%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 5.
    • Recent form of Leones Negros UdeG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Dorados is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Leones Negros UdeG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Leones Negros UdeG is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados 4:0
    03.08.2024 Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG 0:1
    20.03.2024 Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG 1:2
    14.09.2023 Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados 4:0
    20.04.2023 Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados 2:0
    Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
    Latest results of Dorados
    27.09.2025 Dorados - Jaiba Brava 2:3
    05.09.2025 Dorados - Irapuato 0:1
    29.08.2025 Atlético La Paz - Dorados 3:1
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampico Madero862014:8620
    2Cancun861113:21119
    3Atlante851218:81016
    4Tepatitlan de Morelos935116:9714
    5Irapuato842213:10314
    6Atletico La Paz833217:14312
    7Tlaxcala933311:16-512
    8Tapatio932413:11211
    9Venados932422:24-211
    10Atl. Morelia832311:15-411
    11Zacatecas Mineros824214:14010
    12Leones Negros823312:1209
    13Correcaminos913513:23-106
    14Alebrijes Oaxaca811610:19-94
    15Dorados de Sinaloa91086:18-123

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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