Result
04/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Leones Negros UdeG 66.1% | Draw 19.4% | Dorados 14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-16.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones Negros UdeG that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 (1.41) |
4.8 ↑ (4.7) |
6.47 ↑ (6.37) |
7.2% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 5.
- Recent form of Leones Negros UdeG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Dorados is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Leones Negros UdeG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Leones Negros UdeG is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Dorados?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Dorados has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados were as follows:
19.01.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Dorados
4:0
03.08.2024
Dorados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:1
20.03.2024
Dorados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:2
14.09.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Dorados
4:0
20.04.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Dorados
2:0
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Latest results of Dorados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Cancun | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13:2 | 11 | 19 |
3 | Atlante | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 16 |
4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 14 |
5 | Irapuato | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 14 |
6 | Atletico La Paz | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Tlaxcala | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
8 | Tapatio | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
10 | Atl. Morelia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Leones Negros | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
13 | Correcaminos | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13:23 | -10 | 6 |
14 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 4 |
15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:18 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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