Port Vale vs Doncaster Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers
Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 5
  • Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.51
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
69% (226/329)75% (314/419)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.130.59
Total shots
136
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
610
Passes
69% (226/329)75% (314/419)
Long passes
40% (27/67)26% (18/69)
Passes in final third
63% (73/116)63% (77/123)
Crosses
28% (8/29)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.740.70
Throw-ins
2920
Fouls
107
Tackles
47% (7/15)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5952
Clearances
2540
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.591.13
Goals prevented
-0.411.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Humphreys C. 🟨,
  • 40', McGrath J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Senior J. , Maxwell J. ,
  • 46', McGrath J. , Pearson M. ,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Bailey O. , Middleton G. (A),
  • 62', Faal M. , Curtis R. ,
  • 62', Garrity B. , Croasdale R. ,
  • 62', Headley J. , Gordon L. ,
  • 70', Ojo F. , Walters R. ,
  • 78', Middleton G. , Gibson J. ,
  • 79', Kyle John , Richards R. ,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 90+2', Molyneux L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
35.8%
Draw
31.3%
Doncaster Rovers
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 28.2% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 28.7% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.3)
    3
    (3.25)
    2.85
    (2.88)
    6.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Doncaster will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Doncaster (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
    • Port Vale has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Doncaster is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Doncaster: Sterry J. (Broken cheekbone)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Ojo F. (Injury) Paton R. (Muscle Injury) Shipley J. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Port Vale 1:2
    10.12.2024 Doncaster Rovers - Port Vale 0:1
    31.08.2024 Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers 2:3
    29.07.2023 Doncaster Rovers - Port Vale 1:0
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage1081117:8925
    2Bradford City1173120:13724
    3Cardiff1172219:91023
    4Lincoln1163217:10721
    5AFC Wimbledon1170416:12421
    6Huddersfield1161417:13419
    7Stockport County1154217:14319
    8Bolton1145216:11517
    9Barnsley1052316:14217
    10Doncaster1152411:12-117
    11Luton1151514:13116
    12Mansfield1143416:14215
    13Northampton104247:8-114
    14Wigan1134415:16-113
    15Plymouth1141616:19-313
    16Port Vale1133510:10012
    17Exeter1140711:12-112
    18Leyton Orient1132616:22-611
    19Reading1024411:15-410
    20Wycombe1123613:15-29
    21Burton102357:15-89
    22Rotherham102269:15-68
    23Blackpool1122710:19-98
    24Peterborough112188:20-127

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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