Port Vale vs Doncaster Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers
Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 5
  • Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.51
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
69% (226/329)75% (314/419)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.130.59
Total shots
136
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
610
Passes
69% (226/329)75% (314/419)
Long passes
40% (27/67)26% (18/69)
Passes in final third
63% (73/116)63% (77/123)
Crosses
28% (8/29)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.740.70
Throw-ins
2920
Fouls
107
Tackles
47% (7/15)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5952
Clearances
2540
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.591.13
Goals prevented
-0.411.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Humphreys C. 🟨,
  • 40', McGrath J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Senior J. , Maxwell J. ,
  • 46', McGrath J. , Pearson M. ,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Bailey O. , Middleton G. (A),
  • 62', Faal M. , Curtis R. ,
  • 62', Garrity B. , Croasdale R. ,
  • 62', Headley J. , Gordon L. ,
  • 70', Ojo F. , Walters R. ,
  • 78', Middleton G. , Gibson J. ,
  • 79', Kyle John , Richards R. ,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 90+2', Molyneux L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
35.8%
Draw
31.3%
Doncaster Rovers
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 28.2% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 28.7% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.3)
    3
    (3.25)
    2.85
    (2.88)
    6.2%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Doncaster will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Doncaster (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
    • Port Vale has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Doncaster is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Doncaster: Sterry J. (Broken cheekbone)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Ojo F. (Injury) Paton R. (Muscle Injury) Shipley J. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Port Vale 1:2
    10.12.2024 Doncaster Rovers - Port Vale 0:1
    31.08.2024 Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers 2:3
    29.07.2023 Doncaster Rovers - Port Vale 1:0
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Stevenage65019:4515
    3Bradford City642010:6414
    4Barnsley641111:7413
    5Doncaster64116:4213
    6Huddersfield640211:6512
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Stockport County632110:7311
    9Lincoln63218:6211
    10Mansfield631211:7410
    11Exeter63039:639
    12AFC Wimbledon63038:629
    13Wigan62228:718
    14Bolton61416:607
    15Northampton62134:6-27
    16Leyton Orient62136:10-47
    17Reading61235:9-45
    18Burton51135:9-44
    19Rotherham51134:8-44
    20Blackpool61147:13-64
    21Plymouth61054:13-93
    22Wycombe60245:9-42
    23Port Vale60242:6-42
    24Peterborough60152:11-91

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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