Middlesbrough vs Doncaster Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough).

: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	1.90
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
18	18
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
85% (523/616)	78% (279/360)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	1.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.58	1.69
Total shots
18	18
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
6	8
Shots inside the Box
6	14
Shots outside the Box
12	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
30	23
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
4	0
Free Kicks
16	13
Passes
85% (523/616)	78% (279/360)
Long passes
42% (16/38)	34% (22/65)
Passes in final third
76% (135/178)	65% (74/114)
Crosses
5% (1/19)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.99	1.78
Throw-ins
26	15
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
63% (10/16)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
52	39
Clearances
18	36
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.69	1.58
Goals prevented
-2.31	1.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Close B. ⚽, Sharp B. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Ajayi D. ⚽,
27', Kante A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', McGrath J. 🟨,
60', Grehan S. 🟨,
60', McCormick G. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
61', Kante A. ↓, Morris A. ↑,
61', Conway T. ↓, Hackney H. ↑,
65', Gibson J. ↓, Middleton G. ↑,
65', Ajayi D. ↓, Molyneux L. ↑,
65', Sbarra J. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
70', Sharp B. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
77', McCabe L. ↓, Hamilton M. ↑,
78', Ayling L. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
79', McGrath J. ↓, O'Riordan C. ↑,
83', Close B. 🟨,
84', 0 - 3, Gotts R. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
90+6', 0 - 4, Nixon T. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Middlesbrough
48.7%

Draw
25.4%

Doncaster Rovers
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Middlesbrough's form might have worsened.

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

Middlesbrough - Doncaster Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.51)	3.7 ↓ (4.37)	3.66 ↓ (5.49)	5.3% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Doncaster Rovers?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 19 - 95%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 85.4% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 3.
In recent matches, Middlesbrough has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Doncaster is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Middlesbrough is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Doncaster Rovers?

Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Middlesbrough?

Doncaster Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:

27.07.2024 Doncaster Rovers - Middlesbrough 3:5

Latest results of Middlesbrough

09.08.2025 Middlesbrough - Swansea City 1:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Middlesbrough - Deportivo La Coruña 2:2 ✺

26.07.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Middlesbrough 2:2 ✺

23.07.2025 Bradford City - Middlesbrough 2:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Mansfield Town - Middlesbrough 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Doncaster Rovers

09.08.2025 Mansfield Town - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Exeter City 1:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Blackpool 1:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 3:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Peterborough Sports - Doncaster Rovers 1:1 ✺

Draw

Main

1/64-finals

1	Birmingham	Sheffield Utd	2 : 1
2	Blackpool	Port Vale	0 : 1
4	Bye	Arsenal
5	Swansea	Crawley	3 : 1
6	Plymouth	QPR	3 : 2
8	Bye	Nottingham
9	Tranmere	Burton	1 : 2
10	Harrogate	Lincoln	1 : 3
12	Bye	Chelsea
13	Tottenham	Bye
15	Accrington	Peterborough	2 : 1
16	Middlesbrough	Doncaster	0 : 4
17	Bournemouth	Bye
18	Bye	Brentford
20	Bye	Aston Villa
21	Sunderland	Bye
22	Huddersfield	Leicester	3 : 2
24	Bye	Manchester City
25	Liverpool	Bye
27	Watford	Norwich	1 : 2
28	Northampton	Southampton	0 : 1
29	Newcastle	Bye
31	Stoke	Walsall	1 : 0
32	Blackburn	Bradford City	1 : 2
33	Bolton	Sheffield Wed	3 : 4
34	Bye	Leeds
35	Grimsby	Shrewsbury	3 : 1
36	Bye	Manchester Utd
37	Wolves	Bye
38	Bye	West Ham
39	Everton	Bye
40	Chesterfield	Mansfield	0 : 2
41	Crystal Palace	Bye
43	Newport	Millwall	0 : 1
44	Coventry	Luton	1 : 0
45	Burnley	Bye
46	West Brom	Derby	1 : 2
47	Cardiff	Swindon	2 : 1
48	Cheltenham	Exeter	2 : 0
49	Barrow	Preston	0 : 1
50	Wrexham	Hull	4 : 3
51	Portsmouth	Reading	1 : 2
52	Gillingham	AFC Wimbledon	1 : 2
53	Wigan	Notts Co	1 : 0
54	Stockport County	Crewe	3 : 1
55	Bromley	Ipswich	2 : 1
56	Leyton Orient	Wycombe	0 : 1
57	Barnsley	Fleetwood	3 : 2
58	Salford	Rotherham	0 : 1
59	Oxford Utd	Colchester	1 : 0
60	Bye	Brighton
61	Fulham	Bye
62	Bristol City	MK Dons	2 : 0
63	Bristol Rovers	Cambridge Utd	0 : 2
64	Charlton	Stevenage	3 : 1

1/32-finals

1	Birmingham	Port Vale	0 : 1
2	Bye	Arsenal
3	Swansea	Plymouth	2 : 1
4	Bye	Nottingham
5	Burton	Lincoln	0 : 1
6	Bye	Chelsea
7	Tottenham	Bye
8	Accrington	Doncaster	0 : 2
9	Bournemouth	Brentford	0 : 2
10	Bye	Aston Villa
11	Sunderland	Huddersfield	1 : 2
12	Bye	Manchester City
13	Liverpool	Bye
14	Norwich	Southampton	0 : 3
15	Newcastle	Bye
16	Stoke	Bradford City	0 : 3
17	Sheffield Wed	Leeds	2 : 1
18	Grimsby	Manchester Utd	3 : 2
19	Wolves	West Ham	3 : 2
20	Everton	Mansfield	2 : 0
21	Crystal Palace	Bye
22	Millwall	Coventry	2 : 1
23	Burnley	Derby	2 : 1
24	Cardiff	Cheltenham	3 : 0
25	Preston	Wrexham	2 : 3
26	Reading	AFC Wimbledon	2 : 1
27	Wigan	Stockport County	1 : 0
28	Bromley	Wycombe	1 : 2
29	Barnsley	Rotherham	2 : 1
30	Oxford Utd	Brighton	0 : 6
31	Fulham	Bristol City	2 : 0
32	Cambridge Utd	Charlton	3 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Port Vale	Arsenal
2	Swansea	Nottingham
3	Lincoln	Chelsea
4	Tottenham	Doncaster
5	Brentford	Aston Villa
6	Huddersfield	Manchester City
7	Liverpool	Southampton
8	Newcastle	Bradford City
9	Sheffield Wed	Grimsby
10	Wolves	Everton
11	Crystal Palace	Millwall
12	Burnley	Cardiff
13	Wrexham	Reading
14	Wigan	Wycombe
15	Barnsley	Brighton
16	Fulham	Cambridge Utd

Which TV channels are streaming of Middlesbrough - Doncaster Rovers?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+