Accrington Stanley vs Doncaster Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers
Result
0:2
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.291.13
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
65% (186/286)80% (407/511)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.291.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.042.21
Total shots
614
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
1225
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
65
Passes
65% (186/286)80% (407/511)
Long passes
39% (31/79)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
45% (47/104)67% (111/165)
Crosses
20% (1/5)27% (8/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.301.34
Throw-ins
2630
Fouls
66
Tackles
69% (9/13)58% (11/19)
Duels won
5559
Clearances
4037
Interceptions
176
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.210.04
Goals prevented
0.210.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 61', Popoola A. , Sinclair I. ,
  • 65', Woods J. 🟨,
  • 67', Sbarra J. , Bailey O. ,
  • 67', Hanlan B. , Ironside J. ,
  • 68', Gibson J. , Middleton G. ,
  • 68', Ajayi D. , Molyneux L. ,
  • 71', Woods J. 🟨,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Bailey O. , Middleton G. (A),
  • 77', Molyneux L. , Clifton H. ,
  • 78', Pye L. , Madden P. ,
  • 82', 0 - 2, Close B. , Bailey O. (A),
  • 85', Henderson A. , Tunstall F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
20.2%
Draw
25%
Doncaster Rovers
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.9% 24.6% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1% 23.7% 57.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.63
    (4.75)
    3.79
    (3.84)
    1.74
    (1.7)
    5.3%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: Doncaster Rovers will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Doncaster Rovers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 0.
    • Accrington has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Doncaster is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Doncaster has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Doncaster is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Doncaster: Sterry J. (Broken cheekbone)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Rawson F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Doncaster: Gotts R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers 1:2
    10.08.2024 Doncaster Rovers - Accrington Stanley 4:1
    13.04.2024 Doncaster Rovers - Accrington Stanley 4:0
    09.12.2023 Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers 0:0
    14.11.2023 Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers 1:2
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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