Santa Amalia vs Diocesano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Santa Amalia - Diocesano
16/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26
Santa Amalia - Diocesano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 39', 0 - 1, Koke ,
  • 41', 0 - 2, Herrero E. ,
  • 45+4', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 72', 0 - 3, Castro Ramos F. ,

Chances of winning


Santa Amalia
26.3%
Draw
28.4%
Diocesano
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 28.4% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 28.6% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Amalia's form might have worsened.
  • Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diocesano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Amalia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diocesano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santa Amalia - Diocesano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (2.32)
    3.2
    (3.2)
    2
    (2.81)
    10.3%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Santa Amalia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Amalia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Amalia - Diocesano were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Diocesano - Santa Amalia 2:0
    Latest results of Santa Amalia
    Latest results of Diocesano
    09.03.2025 Diocesano - Calamonte 3:0
    02.03.2025 Montijo - Diocesano 1:1
    23.02.2025 Diocesano - Villafranca 0:1
    16.02.2025 Moralo - Diocesano 1:2
    09.02.2025 Badajoz - Diocesano 2:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Villanovense33006:339
    2Villafranca32106:337
    3Don Benito32017:346
    4Jaraiz32015:146
    5Llerenense32015:326
    6Santa Amalia32013:126
    7Puebla32013:216
    8Azuaga21104:224
    9Montijo31114:314
    10Moralo30307:703
    11Diocesano30305:503
    12Gevora31023:6-33
    13CD Calamonte30213:4-12
    14Cabeza del Buey30213:4-12
    15Jerez CF30212:4-22
    16Montehermoso30121:5-41
    17CD Badajoz20020:2-20
    18Pueblonuevo30032:11-90

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