Dingnan United vs Suzhou Dongwu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Chinese Jia League Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu
Result
3:1
05/07/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Jia League - Round 15
Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
918
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (266/339)85% (340/398)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.260.87
Total shots
918
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
78% (266/339)85% (340/398)
Long passes
40% (29/72)68% (45/66)
Passes in final third
47% (28/59)73% (99/135)
Crosses
45% (5/11)28% (11/40)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.07
Throw-ins
1230
Fouls
1411
Tackles
83% (10/12)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4343
Clearances
4210
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.872.26
Goals prevented
-0.13-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', Chen Ao 🟨,
  • 27', Liu Yu 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Tang Shi ,
  • 38', Erikys 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Fortes C. , Arafat Ghenifa (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Wei Zixian , Ependi Nizamdin ,
  • 59', Zhang Lingfeng , Fan Xulin ,
  • 59', Arafat Ghenifa , Liang Weipeng ,
  • 59', Zhang Zimin , Fan Bojian ,
  • 59', Zhu Jiaxuan , Yang Fan ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Erikys , Li Suda (A),
  • 65', Xu Jiajun , Zhang Jiansheng ,
  • 67', Wen Da , Wang Yifan ,
  • 67', Chen Ao , Wu Junjie ,
  • 72', Li Suda , Ma Chenghao ,
  • 74', Andrejevic A. 🟨,
  • 82', Tang Shi , Liu Jiahui ,
  • 83', Sihan W. 🟨,
  • 86', Bao Shimeng , Jin Shang ,
  • 86', Xu Wu 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 1, Erikys (Pen),

Chances of winning


Dingnan United
28.9%
Draw
29.2%
Suzhou Dongwu
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.2% 24.8% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5% 24.1% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dingnan United's performance.
  • Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Suzhou Dongwu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dingnan United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Suzhou Dongwu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (3.9)
    3.1
    (3.65)
    2.17
    (1.74)
    10.3%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).
    • Dingnan United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Suzhou Dongwu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Dingnan United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Suzhou Dongwu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Dingnan United
    Latest results of Suzhou Dongwu
    Chinese Jia League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liaoning Tieren16114136:142237
    2Chongqing Tonglianglong16114135:161937
    3Guangdong GZ-Power1592426:18829
    4Yanbian Longding1684420:16428
    5Shijiazhuang Gongfu1573523:19424
    6Suzhou Dongwu1656518:16221
    7Shanghai Jiading Huilong1562716:22-620
    8Shenzhen Juniors1662823:31-820
    9Nantong Zhiyun1554619:18119
    10Shaanxi Union1554621:22-119
    11Dalian K'un City1454516:18-219
    12Nanjing City1545619:21-217
    13Dingnan Ganlian1437418:21-316
    14Foshan Nanshi1635814:24-1014
    15Qingdao Red Lions1616910:21-119
    16Guangxi Pingguo Haliao1614118:25-177

          Promotion ~ Super League
          Relegation ~ Yi League

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