Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings
Result
4:3 OT
17/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2034
Shots off target
117
Shooting PCT
20% (4/20)8.82% (3/34)
Blocked Shots
1611
Goalkeeper Saves
3116
Saves PCT
91.18% (31/34)80% (16/20)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)50% (1/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (1/2)100% (2/2)
Hits
1713
Faceoffs Won
2916
Faceoffs %
64.4435.56
Giveaways
2014
Takeaways
74
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 17:51, 1 - 0, Matthews A. (G), Knies M. (A), Marner M. (A2)
  • 19:18, 1 - 1, Watson A. (G), Holl J. (A),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 02:14, 1 - 2, Holl J. (G), Kasper M. (A), Tarasenko V. (A2)
  • 05:06, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • 05:50, 1 - 3, DeBrincat A. (G), Seider M. (A), Kane P. (A2)
  • 07:53, Kasper M. (2 min),
  • 08:03, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • 14:25, Lagesson W. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 03:43, 2 - 3, Myers P. (G), Lorentz S. (A), Jarnkrok C. (A2)
  • 19:58, 3 - 3, Tanev C. (G), Marner M. (A), Holmberg P. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 00:56, 4 - 3, Laughton S. (G), Mermis D. (A), Knies M. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
47.2%
Draw
22.1%
Detroit Red Wings
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 20% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 19.3% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.
  • Detroit Red Wings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit Red Wings's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit Red Wings, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.7)
    4.26
    (4.75)
    3.08
    (3.98)
    5.9%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
  • What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings?
    The most likely score is 3:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • Toronto is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toronto won 4.
    • Toronto is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Detroit is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Detroit could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
    • Toronto will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Detroit: Copp A. (Chest Injury) Soderblom E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Ekman-Larsson O. (Injury) Kampf D. (Upper-Body Injury) McCabe J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Detroit: Gustafsson E. (Injury) Mazur C. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Toronto won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 74:59 (average 3.7:3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 35:26 (average 3.5:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings were as follows:
    27.12.2024 Detroit Red Wings - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:5
    14.12.2024 Detroit Red Wings - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:2
    08.11.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings 3:1
    05.10.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings 3:2
    03.10.2024 Detroit Red Wings - Toronto Maple Leafs 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Washington Capitals (1)Montreal Canadiens (8)4 : 1
    2Carolina Hurricanes (4)New Jersey Devils (7)4 : 1
    3Toronto Maple Leafs (2)Ottawa Senators (6)4 : 2
    4Tampa Bay Lightning (3)Florida Panthers (5)1 : 4
    5Winnipeg Jets (1)St. Louis Blues (8)4 : 3
    6Dallas Stars (3)Colorado Avalanche (5)4 : 3
    7Vegas Golden Knights (2)Minnesota Wild (7)4 : 2
    8Los Angeles Kings (4)Edmonton Oilers (6)2 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Washington Capitals (1)Carolina Hurricanes (4)1 : 4
    2Toronto Maple Leafs (2)Florida Panthers (5)3 : 4
    3Winnipeg Jets (1)Dallas Stars (3)2 : 4
    4Vegas Golden Knights (2)Edmonton Oilers (6)1 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Carolina Hurricanes (4)Florida Panthers (5)0 : 1
    2Dallas Stars (3)Edmonton Oilers (6)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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