Result
2:1
25/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premier Division - Round 12
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (199/306) | 77% (322/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (199/306) | 77% (322/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (21/81) | 37% (31/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (66/117) | 68% (80/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Burke R. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Leahy D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Thomas D. ↓, Boyce L. ↑,
- 46', Winchester C. ↓, O'Reilly A. ↑,
- 46', Boyle A. ↓, White K. ↑,
- 55', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
- 56', Mullen D. 🟨,
- 56', Boyce L. 🟨,
- 58', Olayinka J. 🟨,
- 62', Benson R. ↓, Harkin C. ↑,
- 62', Boyce R. ↓, Ferguson S. ↑,
- 64', Harkin C. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 0, Amond P. ⚽, Lonergan T. (A),
- 70', Mullen D. ↓, Patton S. ↑,
- 85', White K. 🟨,
- 86', Glenfield S. ↓, McCormack B. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Boyce L. ⚽, Todd S. (A),
Chances of winning
Waterford United
21.5% | Draw
27.4% | Derry City
51.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waterford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Waterford United - Derry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.4 ↑
(3.61) |
3.43 ↑
(3.38) |
1.83 ↓
(2) |
6.5%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Waterford United - Derry City?
The most likely score is 0:1.
User prediction is Derry City will win! (10 of 12 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Premier Division (Relegation) and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Waterford won 1.
- Waterford has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Derry is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Waterford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Derry is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Derry to win the game is with odds 1.79.
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Waterford won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23:33 (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Waterford won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford United won against Derry City?
Waterford United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Waterford United?
Derry City has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waterford United - Derry City were as follows:
28.02.2025
Derry City
-
Waterford United
1:2
23.08.2024
Waterford United
-
Derry City
0:1
03.06.2024
Derry City
-
Waterford United
3:0
26.04.2024
Waterford United
-
Derry City
0:2
08.03.2024
Derry City
-
Waterford United
3:0
Latest results of Waterford United
Latest results of Derry City
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27:15 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Derry City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 27 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 20:18 | 2 | 27 |
| 4 | St. Patricks | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Drogheda | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 7 | Waterford | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 16:26 | -10 | 21 |
| 8 | Galway | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Cork City | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19:28 | -9 | 12 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Waterford United - Derry City?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
