Derry City vs Sligo Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Irish Premier Division Derry City - Sligo Rovers
Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier Division - Round 33
Derry City - Sligo Rovers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.320.16
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
206
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
80% (433/543)73% (305/418)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.320.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.09
Total shots
206
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
4016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
65
Passes
80% (433/543)73% (305/418)
Long passes
49% (41/84)32% (32/99)
Passes in final third
69% (138/201)63% (83/131)
Crosses
13% (3/24)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.44
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
56
Tackles
78% (14/18)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4440
Clearances
1733
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.091.59
Goals prevented
0.090.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Winchester C. , Benson R. ,
  • 33', McManus J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kavanagh C. , Stewart S. ,
  • 57', Cann H. , Whyte G. ,
  • 64', Agbaje E. 🟨,
  • 65', McManus J. , Harkin C. ,
  • 65', McElroy G. , Denham O. ,
  • 76', Diallo S. 🟨,
  • 79', Diallo S. , Dummigan C. ,
  • 87', Agbaje E. , Reynolds C. ,
  • 88', O'Kane R. , Wolfe M. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Duffy M. , Benson R. (A),

Chances of winning


Derry City
57.4%
Draw
25.2%
Sligo Rovers
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 23.3% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 23% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Sligo Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Derry City - Sligo Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.56)
    3.71
    (4)
    5.46
    (5.51)
    5.5%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Derry City - Sligo Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Sligo Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Derry (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 3.
    • Derry is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sligo Rovers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sligo Rovers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Derry is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Derry: Akinyemi D. (Injury) Boyce L. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Sligo Rovers were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Sligo Rovers - Derry City 2:0
    22.04.2025 Derry City - Sligo Rovers 3:0
    15.03.2025 Sligo Rovers - Derry City 0:1
    21.01.2025 Sligo Rovers - Derry City 2:3
    14.10.2024 Derry City - Sligo Rovers 1:1
    Latest results of Derry City
    Latest results of Sligo Rovers
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers33189653:292463
    2Derry City34169949:381157
    3Shelbourne341413745:351055
    4Bohemians331551342:35750
    5Drogheda341214836:33350
    6St. Patricks3313101041:311049
    7Galway339101435:41-637
    8Sligo Rovers341071739:52-1337
    9Waterford341141939:58-1937
    10Cork City ✔ 344111932:59-2723

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Cork City is Relegated to Division 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Derry City - Sligo Rovers?
    It is being streamed on channel
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