Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Irish Premier Division Derry City - Shamrock Rovers
Result
1:2
23/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier Division - Round 17
  • Referee: Lynch M. (Irl)
Derry City - Shamrock Rovers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.830.93
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
75% (261/350)84% (463/550)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.830.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.95
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1917
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
75% (261/350)84% (463/550)
Long passes
47% (28/59)40% (28/70)
Passes in final third
56% (58/104)67% (62/93)
Crosses
33% (6/18)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.43
Throw-ins
1625
Fouls
1011
Tackles
83% (10/12)89% (8/9)
Duels won
3534
Clearances
2425
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.951.29
Goals prevented
-1.130.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', O'Sullivan C. 🟨,
  • 9', Winchester C. 🟨,
  • 15', Boyce L. 🟨,
  • 19', O'Sullivan C. , Honohan J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 59', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
  • 60', Boyce L. , Mullen D. ,
  • 61', Whyte G. , McMullan P. ,
  • 64', Burke G. , Watts D. ,
  • 64', Greene A. , Noonan M. ,
  • 64', Nugent D. , Mandroiu D. ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Mullen D. , McMullan P. (A),
  • 70', 1 - 1, Noonan M. ,
  • 77', Ferguson S. , Doherty B. ,
  • 77', Byrne J. , McEneff A. ,
  • 85', O'Reilly A. , Benson R. ,
  • 85', Duffy M. , Hoban P. ,
  • 89', 1 - 2, McEneff A. , Grant D. (A),
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+4', McEneff A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derry City
31.6%
Draw
31.8%
Shamrock Rovers
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 30.1% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 32.5% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Derry City - Shamrock Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.62)
    2.95
    (3.13)
    2.56
    (2.77)
    6.7%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Derry City - Shamrock Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Shamrock will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Derry (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Shamrock (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 0.
    • Derry is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shamrock is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Derry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Derry: Dummigan C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Shamrock: Cleary D. (Injury) Kavanagh S. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Derry: Diallo S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shamrock: Robertson S. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Shamrock Rovers were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Derry City 0:0
    20.09.2024 Derry City - Shamrock Rovers 1:1
    20.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers - Derry City 1:0
    19.04.2024 Derry City - Shamrock Rovers 1:3
    04.03.2024 Shamrock Rovers - Derry City 2:2
    Latest results of Derry City
    Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers19106333:161736
    2Drogheda1979325:19630
    3Bohemians18100821:19230
    4St. Patricks1985626:22429
    5Shelbourne1969422:20227
    6Derry City1883722:21127
    7Galway1866621:21024
    8Waterford1872920:30-1023
    9Cork City1827921:31-1013
    10Sligo Rovers18331222:34-1212

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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