Bohemians Dublin vs Derry City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Dalymount Park (Dublin).

: Premier Division - Round 30

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.96	1.41
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
18	15
Shots on target
10	7
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
9	5
Passes
81% (384/477)	67% (192/285)
Yellow Cards
0	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96	1.41
xG on target (xGOT)
3.66	2.55
Total shots
18	15
Shots on target
10	7
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
12	7
Shots outside the Box
6	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
9	5
Touches in opposition box
38	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
13	14
Passes
81% (384/477)	67% (192/285)
Long passes
51% (41/81)	43% (30/70)
Passes in final third
68% (114/167)	61% (74/122)
Crosses
21% (8/38)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.64	0.41
Throw-ins
34	18
Fouls
15	13
Tackles
80% (8/10)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
43	56
Clearances
29	33
Interceptions
6	18
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	7
xGOT faced
2.55	3.66
Goals prevented
-1.45	0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, James-Taylor D. (Pen),
20', 1 - 1, Duffy M. ⚽,
21', Diallo S. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, O'Reilly A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', McDonnell A. ↓, Byrne C. ↑,
56', Winchester C. 🟨,
66', 2 - 2, Flores J. ⚽,
67', 2 - 3, O'Reilly A. ⚽,
69', Diallo S. ↓, Benson R. ↑,
70', Okedina J. ↓, Parsons C. ↑,
70', Meekison A. ↓, Buckley K. ↑,
70', Boyce R. 🟨,
71', 3 - 3, James-Taylor D. ⚽,
74', 3 - 4, Akinyemi D. ⚽,
77', Boyce R. 🟨,
77', Benson R. 🟨,
82', Cornwall R. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
83', Stott J. ↓, Connolly M. ↑,
88', Idehen D. ↓, Dummigan C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Bohemians Dublin
33.5%

Draw
33.2%

Derry City
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

29.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bohemians Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bohemians Dublin's form might have worsened.

Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bohemians Dublin than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bohemians Dublin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derry City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bohemians Dublin - Derry City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.28)	3.16 ↑ (3.05)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	-6% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bohemians Dublin - Derry City?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bohemians will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Derry will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bohemians: 35.2% – 92%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bohemians (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Bohemians will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Bohemians: Devoy D. (Yellow Cards) Mountney J. (Groin Injury)
There will not play in Derry: Doherty B. (Red Card)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bohemians won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.3:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Bohemians Dublin won against Derry City?

Bohemians Dublin has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Bohemians Dublin?

Derry City has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bohemians Dublin - Derry City were as follows:

25.07.2025 Derry City - Bohemians Dublin 1:1

30.05.2025 Bohemians Dublin - Derry City 1:0

21.02.2025 Derry City - Bohemians Dublin 1:0

11.10.2024 Derry City - Bohemians Dublin 1:1

04.10.2024 Bohemians Dublin - Derry City 0:2

Latest results of Bohemians Dublin

30.08.2025 Sligo Rovers - Bohemians Dublin 0:0 ✺

22.08.2025 Bohemians Dublin - Cork City 3:0 ✺

15.08.2025 Bohemians Dublin - Sligo Rovers 0:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Shelbourne - Bohemians Dublin 2:2 ✺

01.08.2025 Bohemians Dublin - Drogheda United 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Derry City

29.08.2025 Derry City - St Patricks Athletic 2:2 ✺

22.08.2025 Galway United - Derry City 1:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Derry City - Drogheda United 1:2 ✺

08.08.2025 Derry City - Cork City 0:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Derry City 2:0 ✺

Irish Premier Division Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	29	16	9	4	49:25	24	57
2	Bohemians	31	15	5	11	41:31	10	50
3	Derry City	31	14	8	9	45:36	9	50
4	St. Patricks	30	11	10	9	36:30	6	43
5	Shelbourne	29	10	13	6	36:30	6	43
6	Drogheda	30	10	13	7	32:29	3	43
7	Waterford	30	10	4	16	34:52	-18	34
8	Galway	30	7	10	13	31:39	-8	31
9	Sligo Rovers	30	8	7	15	36:48	-12	31
10	Cork City	30	4	11	15	30:50	-20	23

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Premier Division (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Bohemians Dublin - Derry City?

It is being streamed on channel


Ireland	LOI TV