Derio vs Durango: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/02/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 1 - 0, Fernandez A. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Chances of winning

Derio
42.4%

Draw
27.8%

Durango
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

26.2%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derio's form might have worsened.

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Durango's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Durango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Derio - Durango Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.86)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	3.06 ↓ (3.91)	9.7% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Derio - Durango?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 14).
Derio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Durango is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Durango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Derio will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Derio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Derio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Durango?

Derio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Durango won against Derio?

Durango has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Durango were as follows:

20.04.2024 Durango - Derio 0:1

03.12.2023 Derio - Durango 0:1

Latest results of Derio

25.01.2025 Urduliz - Derio 2:1 ✺

18.01.2025 Derio - Lagun Onak 2:0 ✺

11.01.2025 Derio - Alavés C 2:0 ✺

22.12.2024 Padura - Derio 1:2 ✺

14.12.2024 Santurtzi - Derio 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Durango

19.01.2025 Beasain - Durango 1:1 ✺

11.01.2025 Pasaia - Durango 3:2 ✺

21.12.2024 Durango - San Ignacio 3:1 ✺

15.12.2024 Basconia - Durango 2:1 ✺

06.12.2024 Durango - Leioa 0:1 ✺

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Basconia	33	22	7	4	85:30	55	73
2	Portugalete	33	18	13	2	64:28	36	67
3	Leioa	33	19	6	8	50:32	18	63
4	Beasain	33	19	6	8	53:34	19	63
5	SD Deusto	33	15	8	10	42:34	8	53
6	Touring	33	13	9	11	37:41	-4	48
7	Alaves C	33	14	5	14	40:40	0	47
8	Eibar C	33	12	10	11	44:46	-2	46
9	Derio	33	12	10	11	38:38	0	46
10	UD Aretxabaleta	33	12	8	13	39:43	-4	44
11	Lagun Onak	33	11	9	13	43:45	-2	42
12	San Ignacio	33	11	8	14	31:40	-9	41
13	Durango	33	9	12	12	43:37	6	39
14	Pasaia	33	10	8	15	45:60	-15	38
15	Santurtzi	33	7	14	12	42:42	0	35
16	Urduliz	33	9	8	16	37:56	-19	35
17	Padura	33	6	8	19	28:48	-20	26
18	San Viator	33	1	5	27	21:88	-67	8

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Which TV channels are streaming of Derio - Durango?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: