Result
2:2
01/02/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 33', 1 - 0, Fernandez A. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Derio
42.4% | Draw
27.8% | Durango
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derio's form might have worsened.Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Durango's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Durango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derio - Durango Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.86) |
3.28 ↓
(3.3) |
3.06 ↓
(3.91) |
9.7%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 14).
- Derio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Durango is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Durango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Derio will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Derio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Derio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Durango?
Derio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Durango won against Derio?
Durango has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Durango were as follows:
20.04.2024
Durango
-
Derio
0:1
03.12.2023
Derio
-
Durango
0:1
Latest results of Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | UD Aretxabaleta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | San Ignacio | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Pasaia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Lagun Onak | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Touring KE | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Zamudio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Durango | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Eibar C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Zarautz KE | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad C | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Derio | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Alaves C | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Anorga | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 1 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
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