Swansea City vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Swansea City - Derby County
Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Additional information

  • : Championship - Round 40
  • Referee: Davies A. (Eng)
Swansea City - Derby County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.250.64
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
312
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
75% (350/468)55% (150/274)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.250.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.33
Total shots
312
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
210
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
328
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
127
Passes
75% (350/468)55% (150/274)
Long passes
26% (23/87)28% (20/72)
Passes in final third
57% (72/126)46% (53/115)
Crosses
13% (3/24)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.310.72
Fouls
712
Tackles
67% (8/12)60% (9/15)
Duels won
6571
Clearances Total
4824
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.330.28
Goals prevented
0.33-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Franco G. , Vipotnik Z. ,
  • 62', Delcroix H. , Eom J. ,
  • 67', Forsyth C. 🟨,
  • 77', Fulton J. , Allen J. ,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Eom J. , Key J. (A),
  • 82', Harness M. 🟨,
  • 83', Adams E. , Mendez-Laing N. ,
  • 83', Thompson L. , Rooney J. ,
  • 83', Langas S. , Goudmijn K. ,
  • 90', Harness M. , Wheeldon L. ,
  • 90+2', Ronald , Christie C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swansea City 44.2%Draw 31.6%Derby County 24.2%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Swansea City 47%Draw 27.1%Derby County 25.9%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Swansea City 49.1%Draw 28.3%Derby County 24.8%

Swansea City - Derby County Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(2.01)
3.02
(3.48)
3.93
(3.65)
4.7%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Swansea City - Derby County?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 3.
    • Recent matches Swansea is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Derby is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Swansea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Swansea will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Swansea: Pedersen K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Osborn B. (Hamstring Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury) Ward J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swansea: Franco G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nyambe R. (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Swansea won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).
    How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Derby County?
    Swansea City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
    How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Swansea City?
    Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Derby County were as follows:
    27.11.2024 Derby County - Swansea City 1:2
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Burnley402315255:124384
    2Sheffield Utd40267756:302683
    3Leeds402313479:285182
    4Sunderland402112757:372075
    5Middlesbrough401791461:491260
    6Bristol City4015151051:43860
    7Coventry401781557:53459
    8West Brom401318948:361257
    9Millwall4014121439:41-254
    10Watford401581748:53-553
    11Norwich4013131462:56652
    12Blackburn401571842:43-152
    13Sheffield Wed4014101654:61-752
    14Preston4010181240:47-748
    15Swansea401391841:51-1048
    16QPR4011131645:53-846
    17Portsmouth401291948:63-1545
    18Oxford Utd4011121741:57-1645
    19Hull4011111840:48-844
    20Stoke4010131741:53-1243
    21Derby401182142:52-1041
    22Cardiff409141743:63-2041
    23Luton401092136:61-2539
    24Plymouth408131942:78-3637

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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