Swansea City vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Championship Swansea City - Derby County
Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 40
  • Referee: Davies A. (Eng)
Swansea City - Derby County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Swansea City - Derby County live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.250.64
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
312
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
75% (350/468)55% (150/274)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.250.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.33
Total shots
312
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
210
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
328
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
127
Passes
75% (350/468)55% (150/274)
Long passes
26% (23/87)28% (20/72)
Passes in final third
57% (72/126)46% (53/115)
Crosses
13% (3/24)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.310.72
Fouls
712
Tackles
67% (8/12)60% (9/15)
Duels won
6571
Clearances Total
4824
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.330.28
Goals prevented
0.33-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Franco G. , Vipotnik Z. ,
  • 62', Delcroix H. , Eom J. ,
  • 67', Forsyth C. 🟨,
  • 77', Fulton J. , Allen J. ,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Eom J. , Key J. (A),
  • 82', Harness M. 🟨,
  • 83', Adams E. , Mendez-Laing N. ,
  • 83', Thompson L. , Rooney J. ,
  • 83', Langas S. , Goudmijn K. ,
  • 90', Harness M. , Wheeldon L. ,
  • 90+2', Ronald , Christie C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swansea City
44.2%
Draw
31.6%
Derby County
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 27.1% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 28.3% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Swansea City - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.01)
    3.02
    (3.48)
    3.93
    (3.65)
    4.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Swansea City - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Derby will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 3.
    • Recent matches Swansea is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Derby is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Swansea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Swansea will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Swansea: Pedersen K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Osborn B. (Hamstring Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury) Ward J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swansea: Franco G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nyambe R. (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Swansea won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Derby County were as follows:
    27.11.2024 Derby County - Swansea City 1:2
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Birmingham00000:000
    2Blackburn00000:000
    3Derby00000:000
    4Middlesbrough00000:000
    5Portsmouth00000:000
    6Bristol City00000:000
    7Charlton00000:000
    8Coventry00000:000
    9Hull00000:000
    10Ipswich00000:000
    11Leicester00000:000
    12Norwich00000:000
    13Preston00000:000
    14QPR00000:000
    15Sheffield Utd00000:000
    16Sheffield Wed00000:000
    17Southampton00000:000
    18Stoke00000:000
    19Watford00000:000
    20West Brom00000:000
    21Millwall00000:000
    22Swansea00000:000
    23Wrexham00000:000
    24Oxford Utd00000:000

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Which TV channels are streaming of Swansea City - Derby County?
    It is being streamed on channel
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan