Result
0:0
03/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Championship - Round 46
- Referee: Langford O. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (237/332) | 68% (215/316) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (237/332) | 68% (215/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (40/79) | 25% (17/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (69/120) | 37% (28/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Al Hamadi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Adams E. 🟨,
- 67', Harness M. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
- 79', Thompson L. 🟨,
- 88', Bae J. ↓, Moran A. ↑,
- 88', Al Hamadi A. ↓, Lowe N. ↑,
- 88', Thompson L. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 88', Yates J. ↓, Roofe K. ↑,
- 90+3', Forsyth C. ↓, Pieters E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County
43.5% | Draw
33.4% | Stoke City
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Derby County - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(1.98) |
2.85 ↓
(3.09) |
4.12 ↓
(4.38) |
5.2%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Derby County - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Stoke will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 40.8% – 79.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 19 and 18)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Derby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Derby is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Derby: Brown D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Elder C.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Hendrick J.
(Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Nyambe R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Thigh Injury)
Salvesen L.
(Knee Injury)
Ward J.
(Knee Injury)
Widell Zetterstrom J.
(Face Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Bocat E.
(Muscle Injury)
Sidibe S.
(Muscle Injury)
Stevens E.
(Leg Injury)
Thompson J.
(Abdominal strain)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Pearson B.
(Injury)
Rose M.
(Leg Injury)
Tchamadeu J.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Derby won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.5:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Stoke City?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Derby County?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Stoke City were as follows:
02.11.2024
Stoke City
-
Derby County
2:1
22.07.2023
Derby County
-
Stoke City
3:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Stoke City
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Sheffield Utd (3) | Bristol City (6) | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Sunderland (4) | Coventry (5) | 1 : 1, 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sheffield Utd (3) | Sunderland (4) | 1 : 2 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Derby County - Stoke City?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
