Northampton Town vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League One Northampton Town - Derby County
Result
1:0
23/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 40
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Northampton Town - Derby County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.90
Ball Possession
37%63%
Goal Attempts
1014
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
36
Corner Kicks
37
Offsides
05
Throw-ins
2538
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Fouls
108
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
22
Attacks
152148
Dangerous Attacks
5073

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Pinnock M. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Hoskins S. , Appere L. (A),
  • 45', Sibley L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Cashin E. 🟨,
  • 60', McGowan A. , Hondermarck W. ,
  • 64', Adams E. , Smith K. ,
  • 64', Sibley L. , Elder C. ,
  • 64', Thompson L. , Blackett-Taylor C. ,
  • 65', Leonard M. 🟨,
  • 70', Waghorn M. , Washington C. ,
  • 70', Mendez-Laing N. , Ward J. ,
  • 88', Moore L. , Koiki A. ,
  • 89', Fox B. , Simpson T. ,
  • 89', Appere L. , McWilliams S. ,
  • 90', Hoskins S. , Bowie K. ,
  • 90+10', Bradley S. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
12.7%
Draw
23.6%
Derby County
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.5% 25.2% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 24.1% 56.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northampton Town's form might have worsened.
  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Northampton Town - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.35
    (4.6)
    4.03
    (3.73)
    1.48
    (1.74)
    6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: Derby County will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Northampton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Derby is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Derby have a series of home games.
    • In this match Derby is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Derby County were as follows:
    31.10.2023 Derby County - Northampton Town 4:0
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Doncaster75119:5416
    3Huddersfield750214:8615
    4Stevenage65019:4515
    5Bradford City742111:9214
    6Barnsley641111:7413
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Lincoln733110:8212
    9Stockport County732212:11111
    10Bolton72419:6310
    11Mansfield731311:9210
    12Leyton Orient73139:12-310
    13Exeter73049:729
    14Wigan723210:919
    15AFC Wimbledon73048:9-19
    16Northampton62134:6-27
    17Rotherham62135:8-37
    18Plymouth72058:15-76
    19Wycombe71247:9-25
    20Reading61235:9-45
    21Burton51135:9-44
    22Blackpool61147:13-64
    23Port Vale70254:9-52
    24Peterborough70164:14-101

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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