Exeter City vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Exeter City - Derby County
Result
0:3
13/02/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 33
  • Referee: Tallis S. (Eng)
Exeter City - Derby County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter City
25.9%
Draw
27.2%
Derby County
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 25.6% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1% 28.4% 57.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Exeter City - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.63
    (4.23)
    3.43
    (3.69)
    2.01
    (1.81)
    6.5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Exeter City - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Exeter is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Derby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Exeter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Derby will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Exeter won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Derby County were as follows:
    24.10.2023 Derby County - Exeter City 2:0
    18.04.2023 Exeter City - Derby County 1:2
    25.10.2022 Derby County - Exeter City 0:0
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huddersfield11003:033
    2Wigan11003:123
    3Barnsley11003:123
    4Stockport County11002:023
    5Lincoln11002:023
    6Stevenage11003:213
    7Cardiff11002:113
    8Bradford City11002:113
    9Rotherham11002:113
    10Burton11002:113
    11Doncaster11001:013
    12Luton11001:013
    13Blackpool10012:3-10
    14Port Vale10011:2-10
    15Wycombe10011:2-10
    16Mansfield10011:2-10
    17Peterborough10011:2-10
    18Exeter10010:1-10
    19AFC Wimbledon10010:1-10
    20Plymouth10011:3-20
    21Northampton10011:3-20
    22Bolton10010:2-20
    23Reading10010:2-20
    24Leyton Orient10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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