Bristol City vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Bristol City - Derby County
Result
1:0
04/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 26
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
Bristol City - Derby County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.37
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
119
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
67
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
127
Offsides
12
Fouls
712
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
3326
Touches in the Opposition Box
1719
Passes
75% (273/365)77% (291/377)
Passes in the final third
65% (87/133)56% (41/73)
Crosses
19% (3/16)22% (5/23)
Tackles
75% (15/20)82% (23/28)
Clearances Total
4030
Interceptions
103

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, McNally L. , Twine S. (A),
  • 28', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
  • 35', McCrorie R. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Thompson L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Jackson K. , Osborn B. ,
  • 58', McCrorie R. , Mayulu F. ,
  • 58', Wells N. , Tanner G. ,
  • 63', Goudmijn K. , Chirewa T. ,
  • 71', Thompson L. , Forsyth C. ,
  • 71', Harness M. , Brown D. ,
  • 78', Twine S. , Hirakawa Y. ,
  • 88', Mendez-Laing N. , Collins J. ,
  • 90+2', Roberts H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bristol City
51.9%
Draw
27.4%
Derby County
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 28.4% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 28% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol City's performance.
  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Bristol City - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (2.05)
    3.46
    (3.31)
    4.57
    (3.63)
    5.2%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bristol City - Derby County?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Bristol City will win! (21 of 26 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Bristol City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Bristol City is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bristol City: Armstrong S. (Hamstring Injury) Benarous A. (Hamstring Injury) Naismith K. (Leg Injury) Pring C. (Muscle Injury) Sykes M. (Muscle Injury) Williams J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Cashin E. (Muscle Injury) Nyambe R. (Knee Injury) Osborn B. (Muscle Injury) Ozoh D. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:29 (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Derby County were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Derby County - Bristol City 3:0
    Latest results of Bristol City
    Latest results of Derby County
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Bristol City (6)3 : 0, 3 : 0
    2Sunderland (4)Coventry (5)1 : 1, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Sunderland (4)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Bristol City - Derby County?
    It is being streamed on channel
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