Derby County vs Bristol City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Derby County - Bristol City
22/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Derby County - Bristol City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Derby County
32.8%
Draw
29.5%
Bristol City
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 30% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 31.9% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Derby County - Bristol City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.6)
    3.22
    (3.16)
    2.53
    (2.82)
    5%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Bristol City?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Bristol City will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
    • Derby has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bristol City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Derby won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Bristol City were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Bristol City - Derby County 1:0
    31.08.2024 Derby County - Bristol City 3:0
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Bristol City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke22006:156
    2Middlesbrough22004:046
    3West Brom22004:226
    4Bristol City21104:134
    5Coventry21105:324
    6Birmingham21103:214
    7Hull21103:214
    8Preston21103:214
    9Southampton21103:214
    10Charlton21101:014
    11Leicester21013:303
    12Norwich21013:303
    13Portsmouth21012:203
    14Watford21012:203
    15Swansea21011:103
    16Millwall21012:4-23
    17Ipswich20202:202
    18QPR20112:3-11
    19Wrexham20023:5-20
    20Oxford Utd20022:4-20
    21Blackburn20021:3-20
    22Derby20024:8-40
    23Sheffield Utd20021:5-40
    24Sheffield Wed20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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