Southampton U21 vs Derby County U21: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League 2 Southampton U21 - Derby County U21
Result
4:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League 2
  • Referee: Ajibola A. (Eng)
Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
75
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Oyekunle N. ,
  • 32', 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Oyekunle N. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Richards J. , Wilson C. ,
  • 46', Allen C. , Tola M. ,
  • 47', Wheeldon L. 🟨,
  • 48', 3 - 0, Merry W. , Akachukwu R. (A),
  • 57', Oguntolu J. , Osong J. ,
  • 57', Stokes G. , Gough B. ,
  • 61', Akachukwu R. , Charles B. ,
  • 61', Merry W. , Gathercole H. ,
  • 73', Whittaker R. , Moore J. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Osayande A. ,
  • 87', 4 - 1, Charles B. ,
  • 88', Bragg C. , Daley A. ,
  • 90+5', Gough B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Southampton U21
76.5%
Draw
13.4%
Derby County U21
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.9% 16.6% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 15.7% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southampton U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton U21's performance.
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.35)
    7.37
    (5.52)
    9.8
    (5.89)
    1.3%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Southampton U21 - Derby County U21?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • S`hampton U21 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Derby U21 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, S`hampton U21 is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, S`hampton U21 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Derby County U21 - Southampton U21 0:0
    15.12.2023 Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 2:1
    31.03.2023 Derby County U21 - Southampton U21 1:3
    06.01.2023 Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 3:0
    Latest results of Southampton U21
    English Premier League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manchester Utd U21660015:6918
    2Ipswich U21651017:11616
    3Tottenham U21650119:10915
    4Southampton U21642016:10614
    5Fulham U21541013:7613
    6Chelsea U21640214:8612
    7Brighton U21632115:6911
    8Stoke City U21632112:9311
    9Arsenal U21632111:9211
    10Wolves U21531113:10310
    11Leeds U21631212:9310
    12Aston Villa U21631213:13010
    13West Ham U21622213:1128
    14Leicester U21622215:1508
    15Manchester City U21521211:927
    16Norwich U2152128:9-17
    17Crystal Palace U2142117:8-17
    18Everton U2162049:11-26
    19Middlesbrough U2151227:615
    20Birmingham U2151228:10-25
    21Sunderland U21511313:15-24
    22Nottingham U2161146:9-34
    23Liverpool U21611410:14-44
    24Burnley U2161056:12-63
    25Reading U2150324:10-63
    26Blackburn U2160246:15-92
    27West Brom U2160243:12-92
    28Newcastle Utd U2160247:17-102
    29Derby U2160065:17-120

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