Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo Táchira: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Venezuelan Primera Division Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira
Result
2:3
28/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 9
  • Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.22
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
11
Passes
84% (341/408)86% (367/426)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.472.47
Total shots
915
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
1718
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
229
Passes
84% (341/408)86% (367/426)
Long passes
55% (32/58)67% (39/58)
Passes in final third
68% (73/108)74% (70/94)
Crosses
11% (2/18)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.15
Fouls
922
Tackles
57% (4/7)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3427
Clearances Total
1314
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
2.471.47
Goals prevented
-0.53-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Castillo B. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Rosales R. ,
  • 39', Requena J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Ortiz K. , Lobo J. ,
  • 48', Rivera J. 🟨,
  • 51', Rosales R. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ,
  • 57', Marquez J. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Cova M. , Saggiomo D. (A),
  • 64', Castillo B. , Balza J. ,
  • 69', Romero A. , Moreno J. ,
  • 69', Rivera J. , Garcia Mejia M. Y. ,
  • 73', Pena A. 🟨,
  • 73', Saggiomo D. 🟨,
  • 78', Hernandez J. , Paez G. ,
  • 78', Pena A. , Infante J. ,
  • 79', Cova M. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 80', 1 - 3, Ortiz J. , Balza J. (A),
  • 90', Rosales R. , Hernandez N. ,
  • 90', Sosa C. , Zuniga L. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Moreno J. ,
  • 90+7', Hernandez Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Mérida
27.7%
Draw
30.5%
Deportivo Táchira
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 28% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 27.3% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Deportivo Táchira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Táchira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Táchira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (3.7)
    3.02
    (3.25)
    2.2
    (1.92)
    8.6%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Est de Mérida won 1.
    • Est de Mérida is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Deportivo Táchira is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Deportivo Táchira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Deportivo Táchira have a series of home games.
    • Deportivo Táchira will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Est de Mérida won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20:34 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Est de Mérida won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira were as follows:
    16.07.2024 Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira 1:1
    04.02.2024 Deportivo Táchira - Estudiantes de Mérida 5:1
    08.10.2023 Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira 1:3
    08.03.2023 Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira 2:1
    05.02.2023 Deportivo Táchira - Estudiantes de Mérida 3:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Táchira
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Apertura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira32017:526
    2Universidad Central31209:815
    3Portuguesa30213:4-12
    4Anzoategui FC30215:7-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Tachira22003:126
    2Carabobo21103:124
    3Puerto Cabello20111:2-11
    4Metropolitanos20021:4-30

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Final: )

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