Deportivo Recoleta vs San Lorenzo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:1
08/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
Deportivo Recoleta - San Lorenzo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.911.44
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
24
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
64
Passes
68% (202/297)80% (337/421)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.911.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.901.69
Total shots
714
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
59
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1421
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
811
Passes
68% (202/297)80% (337/421)
Long passes
46% (27/59)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
50% (32/64)65% (74/114)
Crosses
24% (4/17)38% (10/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.481.59
Throw ins
2632
Fouls
118
Tackles
53% (9/17)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4751
Clearances
3424
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
1.690.90
Goals prevented
0.69-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Marotta N. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Wlk A. ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Auzmendi R. , Cuello A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez G. , Abrego G. ,
  • 49', Echeguren Zarza F. A. 🟨,
  • 57', Rodriguez Pagano T. , De Ritis M. ,
  • 66', Barrios N. , Gulli F. ,
  • 66', Cuello A. , Vietto L. ,
  • 73', De Ritis M. 🟨,
  • 74', Parzajuk K. , Noguera J. ,
  • 74', Gonzalez A. , Lopez H. ,
  • 79', Insaurralde M. , Perruzzi I. ,
  • 81', Monzon L. 🟨,
  • 82', Echeguren Zarza F. A. , Figueredo C. ,
  • 89', Baez W. , Ortiz R. ,
  • 89', Espinola J. , Dominguez R. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Recoleta
21.4%
Draw
29.7%
San Lorenzo
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.2% 30.1% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6% 30.7% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Deportivo Recoleta - San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.38
    (4.47)
    3.16
    (3.14)
    1.93
    (1.94)
    6.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta - San Lorenzo?
    • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 3 - 30%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 29.6%90.4%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, San Lorenzo is the team to beat.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigre10101:101
    2America De Cali10101:101
    3Alianza Atl10101:101
    4Macara10101:101


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Puerto Cabello11002:113
    2Cienciano10101:101
    3Juventud10101:101
    4Atletico-MG10011:2-10


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1O'Higgins11002:023
    2Sao Paulo11001:013
    3Boston River10010:1-10
    4Millonarios10010:2-20


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Cuenca11001:013
    2San Lorenzo10101:101
    3Recoleta10101:101
    4Santos10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club11003:123
    2Botafogo RJ10101:101
    3Caracas10101:101
    4Independiente10011:3-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City11001:013
    2Palestino10100:001
    3Dep. Riestra10100:001
    4Gremio10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion11002:023
    2Vasco10100:001
    3Barracas Central10100:001
    4A. Italiano10010:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carabobo11001:013
    2River Plate10101:101
    3Blooming10101:101
    4Bragantino10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Recoleta - San Lorenzo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    paraguayParaguayESPN 5
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5
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