Result
1:3
28/04/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.31 | 1.33 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
81% (320/397) | 80% (309/385) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.31 | 1.33 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.98 | 1.12 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
81% (320/397) | 80% (309/385) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (23/48) | 50% (23/46) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (62/92) | 65% (70/107) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (6/24) | 26% (5/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.32 | 0.42 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (12/17) | 65% (11/17) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.12 | 0.98 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.88 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Leon D. ⚽,
- 45+2', Viera W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 0 - 2, Marecos T. ⚽, Benitez A. (A),
- 56', Nunez J. 🟨,
- 66', Samudio M. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 66', Gayoso H. ↓, Medina B. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Sandoval H. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
- 71', 1 - 3, Benitez A. ⚽,
- 73', Leon D. ↓, Benitez A. G. ↑,
- 73', Marecos T. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 77', Perez M. 🟨,
- 78', Piris I. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 78', Ferreira B. ↓, Baez W. ↑,
- 80', Morel J. ↓, Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↑,
- 80', Iturbe J. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 83', Fernandez R. 🟨,
- 85', Carrizo F. ↓, Avalos A. ↑,
- 86', Silva A. ↓, Hernan Perez ↑,
- 86', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 🟨,
- 89', Velazquez G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Lopez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Recoleta 19.5% | Draw 30.4% | Cerro Porteño 50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro Porteño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.77 ↓ (5.14) |
3.07 ↓ (3.83) |
1.85 ↑ (1.59) |
7.7% (8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño?
The most likely score is 0:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 4).
- Recoleta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recoleta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Recoleta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Recoleta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Cerro Porteño?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Cerro Porteño has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
15.02.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:1
18.09.2024
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Cerro Porteño
2:3
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Guarani | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 21:17 | 4 | 32 |
3 | Cerro Porteno | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 24:15 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27:28 | -1 | 24 |
7 | General Caballero JLM | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 15:18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Ameliano | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 |
9 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 20 |
10 | Nacional Asuncion | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 14:23 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Atl. Tembetary | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
12 | 2 de Mayo | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
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Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |