Unión Magdalena vs Deportivo Pasto: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

07/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta).

: Primera A - Clausura - Round 6

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	0.68
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
77% (302/390)	78% (290/371)
Yellow Cards
4	5
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	0.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.70	0.48
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
2	1
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
7	3
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
16	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
11	15
Passes
77% (302/390)	78% (290/371)
Long passes
39% (29/75)	48% (23/48)
Passes in final third
58% (45/78)	63% (57/91)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.57	0.70
Throw-ins
19	15
Fouls
15	11
Tackles
86% (18/21)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
52	49
Clearances
26	16
Interceptions
6	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.48	0.70
Goals prevented
-0.52	-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Marquez R. ⚽, Mercado J. (A),
17', Cantillo F. 🟨,
32', Espinal F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bernal J. ↓, Jimenez M. S. ↑,
46', Espinal F. ↓, Goyes H. ↑,
46', Bone F. ↓, Ritacco G. ↑,
49', Caicedo L. 🟨,
55', Hinojosa R. 🟨,
64', Caicedo L. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
64', Valencia J. ↓, Camacho D. ↑,
70', Hinojosa R. 🟨,
71', Mercado J. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
73', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
75', Mosquera D. 🟨,
77', Cantillo F. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
77', Marquez R. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
78', Alarcon A. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Valois Y. ⚽, Camacho D. (A),
89', Murillo D. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
90+3', Goyes H. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2j5sd45j

Chances of winning

Unión Magdalena
50.1%

Draw
30.1%

Deportivo Pasto
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

31.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Magdalena's performance.

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Pasto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pasto Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.15)	3.3 ↑ (2.95)	4.92 ↑ (3.7)	-0.2% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pasto?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Magdalena: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Unión Magdalena (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2.
Recent performances by Unión Magdalena have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Unión Magdalena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Unión Magdalena will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Deportivo Pasto?

Unión Magdalena has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Unión Magdalena?

Deportivo Pasto has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:

11.06.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena 3:1

25.02.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena 2:1

13.10.2023 Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena 3:1

Latest results of Unión Magdalena

01.08.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena 0:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín 0:2 ✺

23.07.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena 4:1 ✺

18.07.2025 Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA 0:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Pasto

01.08.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Envigado Postponed ✺

26.07.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pasto 2:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Deportivo Pasto - América de Cali Postponed ✺

20.07.2025 Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto Postponed ✺

12.07.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima 3:2 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	6	4	2	0	14:6	8	14
2	Atl. Nacional	6	3	2	1	11:5	6	11
3	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	6:1	5	11
4	Fortaleza	6	2	4	0	8:6	2	10
5	Deportes Tolima	6	3	1	2	5:4	1	10
6	Santa Fe	6	2	3	1	7:6	1	9
7	Pereira	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
8	Bucaramanga	4	2	1	1	8:6	2	7
9	Ind. Medellin	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
10	Envigado	5	1	3	1	6:6	0	6
11	Dep. Cali	6	1	3	2	7:11	-4	6
12	Dep. Pasto	3	1	2	0	6:5	1	5
13	Chico	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
14	La Equidad	5	1	2	2	3:5	-2	5
15	U. Magdalena	5	1	2	2	3:7	-4	5
16	Alianza	6	1	2	3	5:10	-5	5
17	America De Cali	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
18	Aguilas	6	0	4	2	6:8	-2	4
19	Once Caldas	5	0	2	3	6:10	-4	2
20	Millonarios	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pasto?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz