Result
1:0
03/03/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 7
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 31 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (493/564) | 68% (173/254) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 75% (129/172) | 57% (35/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 0% (0/7) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Caicedo J. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
- 30', Alba I. 🟨,
- 32', Chaverra F. 🟨,
- 35', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
- 38', Cabezas V. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 0, Sandoval L. ⚽, Berrio L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Torres G. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 61', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
- 65', Berrio L. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
- 65', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
- 68', Castilla J. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
- 68', Alba I. ↓, Bone F. ↑,
- 79', Leon B. ↓, Fydriszewski F. ↑,
- 79', Chaverra F. ↓, Rodallega Y. ↑,
- 81', Caicedo L. 🟨,
- 90', Sandoval L. ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
- 90+1', Moreno D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mfzfbc9c
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
69.4% | Draw
20.5% | Deportivo Pasto
10.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.54) |
4.52 ↑
(3.75) |
9.29 ↑
(6.5) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is Independiente Medellín will win! (9 of 9 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 2.
- Ind Medellín in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Deportivo Pasto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ind Medellín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Ind Medellín is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Ind Medellín to win the game is with odds 1.57.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:17 (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ind Medellín won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:6 (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Deportivo Pasto?
Independiente Medellín has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Independiente Medellín?
Deportivo Pasto has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
08.09.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Medellín
1:0
29.02.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
26.10.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Medellín
0:0
17.08.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Medellín
3:2
09.08.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportivo Pasto
3:1
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | America De Cali ✔ | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27:12 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29:17 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 35:18 | 17 | 35 |
| 4 | Millonarios ✔ | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26:15 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | Junior ✔ | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 34 |
| 6 | Santa Fe ✔ | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 32 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 29 |
| 10 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Alianza | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 26 |
| 12 | Pereira | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 25 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 24 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 20 |
| 15 | Chico | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12:27 | -15 | 20 |
| 16 | Aguilas | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15:18 | -3 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 18 |
| 18 | Llaneros | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 | La Equidad | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13:32 | -19 | 10 |
| 20 | U. Magdalena | 19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 13:30 | -17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Millonarios is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Santa Fe is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
