Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Pasto: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/03/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín).

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 7

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	0.34
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Goal Attempts
20	9
Shots on Goal
3	2
Shots off Goal
9	4
Blocked Shots
8	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	6
Shots inside the Box
9	3
Shots outside the Box
11	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
Free Kicks
14	16
Offsides
1	2
Fouls
16	14
Yellow Cards
3	4
Throw-ins
12	18
Touches in the Opposition Box
31	5
Passes
87% (493/564)	68% (173/254)
Passes in the final third
75% (129/172)	57% (35/61)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	0% (0/7)
Tackles
70% (7/10)	100% (5/5)
Clearances Total
14	15
Interceptions
4	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Caicedo J. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
30', Alba I. 🟨,
32', Chaverra F. 🟨,
35', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
38', Cabezas V. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 0, Sandoval L. ⚽, Berrio L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Torres G. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
61', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
65', Berrio L. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
65', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
68', Castilla J. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
68', Alba I. ↓, Bone F. ↑,
79', Leon B. ↓, Fydriszewski F. ↑,
79', Chaverra F. ↓, Rodallega Y. ↑,
81', Caicedo L. 🟨,
90', Sandoval L. ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
90+1', Moreno D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mfzfbc9c

Chances of winning

Independiente Medellín
69.4%

Draw
20.5%

Deportivo Pasto
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

24.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

24%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.54)	4.52 ↑ (3.75)	9.29 ↑ (6.5)	7.2% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 2.
Ind Medellín in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Deportivo Pasto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ind Medellín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Ind Medellín is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Ind Medellín to win the game is with odds 1.57.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:17 (average 1.1:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Ind Medellín won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:6 (average 1.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Deportivo Pasto?

Independiente Medellín has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Independiente Medellín?

Deportivo Pasto has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:

08.09.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín 1:0

29.02.2024 Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto 1:0

26.10.2023 Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín 0:0

17.08.2023 Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín 3:2

09.08.2023 Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto 3:1

Latest results of Independiente Medellín

27.02.2025 Independiente Medellín - Llaneros SA 3:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Millonarios - Independiente Medellín 0:1 ✺

12.02.2025 Independiente Medellín - Unión Magdalena 1:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Envigado - Independiente Medellín 0:1 ✺

02.02.2025 Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Pasto

25.02.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena 2:1 ✺

17.02.2025 Envigado - Deportivo Pasto 0:1 ✺

12.02.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó 3:0 ✺

08.02.2025 América de Cali - Deportivo Pasto 1:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios 0:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	5	4	1	0	13:5	8	13
2	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	6:1	5	11
3	Santa Fe	5	2	3	0	6:4	2	9
4	Atl. Nacional	5	2	2	1	8:5	3	8
5	Fortaleza	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8
6	Deportes Tolima	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
7	Envigado	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
8	Alianza	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
9	Chico	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
10	La Equidad	5	1	2	2	3:5	-2	5
11	Dep. Cali	5	1	2	2	4:8	-4	5
12	Dep. Pasto	2	1	1	0	5:4	1	4
13	America De Cali	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
14	Ind. Medellin	4	1	1	2	6:7	-1	4
15	Pereira	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
16	U. Magdalena	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
17	Aguilas	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2
18	Bucaramanga	2	0	1	1	3:4	-1	1
19	Once Caldas	3	0	1	2	4:7	-3	1
20	Millonarios	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America