Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Colombian Primera A Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto
Result
2:1
25/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.68
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
87% (417/480)79% (227/286)
Yellow Cards
50
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.281.21
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3210
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
820
Passes
87% (417/480)79% (227/286)
Long passes
71% (36/51)55% (22/40)
Passes in final third
70% (92/131)44% (16/36)
Crosses
28% (5/18)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.860.43
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
208
Tackles
90% (9/10)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3346
Clearances
1116
Interceptions
158
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.210.28
Goals prevented
-0.20-1.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Bone F. , Ritacco G. (A),
  • 16', Fabry 🟨,
  • 26', Mena J. 🟨,
  • 32', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Fabry , Sambueza F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hinestroza F. , Garcia J. ,
  • 46', Castaneda F. , Mosquera J. ,
  • 50', Velasco E. 🟥,
  • 54', Garcia J. 🟨,
  • 57', Ritacco G. , Torres G. ,
  • 57', Quinones D. , Ordonez F. ,
  • 67', Londono K. , Flores L. ,
  • 67', Chavez D. , Jhon Vasquez ,
  • 67', Jaramillo F. , Caicedo J. ,
  • 67', Charrupi G. , Castilla J. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Zapata C. ,
  • 80', Bone F. , Campana J. ,
  • 84', Sambueza F. , Cardenas S. ,
  • 90+1', Flores L. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3ss9b47x

Chances of winning


Atlético Bucaramanga
32.2%
Draw
32%
Deportivo Pasto
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 30.5% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 30.2% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.63)
    2.92
    (3)
    2.65
    (2.63)
    6.7%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Pasto: 57.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Deportivo Pasto (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo Pasto will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Deportivo Pasto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
    24.10.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto 0:0
    17.10.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2
    23.08.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2
    19.02.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto 1:0
    21.09.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto 0:2
    Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Apertura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Medellin32105:237
    2America De Cali31204:315
    3Deportes Tolima30213:5-22
    4Junior30122:4-21


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santa Fe32014:316
    2Millonarios31201:015
    3Atl. Nacional30211:2-12
    4Once Caldas30211:2-12

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)

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