Deportivo Macará vs Mushuc Runa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Bellavista (Ambato).

: Liga Pro - Round 26
Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.19
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
78% (227/290)	79% (253/322)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.31	0.73
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
3	2
Shots outside the Box
5	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
14	11
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
78% (227/290)	79% (253/322)
Long passes
42% (21/50)	41% (18/44)
Passes in final third
66% (57/87)	64% (55/86)
Crosses
15% (3/20)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.35	0.29
Throw-ins
15	17
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
36% (4/11)	82% (14/17)
Duels won
45	46
Clearances
24	20
Interceptions
11	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.73	1.31
Goals prevented
-0.27	-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Cazares J. 🟨,
28', Marrufo J. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Dos Santos J. (Pen),
40', 1 - 1, Gonzalez P. ⚽, Viera M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Quintero D. ↓, Verges J. ↑,
51', Penilla C. 🟨,
53', Burbano R. ↓, Mancilla Quinones J. L. ↑,
55', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
55', Morales J. 🟨,
63', Dos Santos J. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
67', Morales J. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
67', Gonzalez P. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Juambeltz M. (Pen),
87', Arena N. 🟨,
88', Orejuela C. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
88', Davila E. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
90', Tello M. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
90', Viera M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
90+4', Juambeltz M. ↓, Chere A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Deportivo Macará
41.8%

Draw
29.7%

Mushuc Runa
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.5%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.1)	3.08 ↓ (3.33)	3.24 ↓ (3.28)	8.9% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa?

Users Predictions: Deportivo Macará will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.
Macará has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Mushuc Runa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Macará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Macará is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Mushuc Runa?

Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Deportivo Macará?

Mushuc Runa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa were as follows:

03.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará 4:3

03.11.2024 Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará 2:1

11.05.2024 Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa 0:0

04.09.2022 Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa 3:0

Latest results of Deportivo Macará

17.08.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará 0:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Deportivo Macará - Delfín 0:0 ✺

01.08.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará 1:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:4 ✺

20.07.2025 Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Macará 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Mushuc Runa

19.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle 2:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas 1:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja 1:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Guayaquil City - Mushuc Runa 3:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle ✔	28	18	8	2	53:21	32	62
2	Barcelona SC ✔	28	15	5	8	44:32	12	50
3	LDU Quito	28	13	9	6	43:26	17	48
4	Dep. Cuenca	28	13	7	8	34:26	8	46
5	Orense	28	13	6	9	34:32	2	45
6	U. Catolica	28	11	10	7	52:36	16	43
7	Libertad	28	11	9	8	40:35	5	42
8	Aucas	28	11	6	11	37:40	-3	39
9	Emelec	28	10	8	10	26:34	-8	38
10	Macara	28	8	10	10	28:28	0	34
11	EL Nacional	28	9	7	12	32:37	-5	34
12	Delfin	28	6	12	10	26:41	-15	30
13	Manta	28	5	11	12	32:46	-14	26
14	Tecnico U	28	6	7	15	24:43	-19	25
15	Vinotinto	28	6	6	16	30:41	-11	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	28	6	5	17	31:48	-17	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz