Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Pro - Round 26
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (227/290) | 79% (253/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (227/290) | 79% (253/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 41% (18/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (57/87) | 64% (55/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', Cazares J. 🟨,
- 28', Marrufo J. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Dos Santos J. (Pen),
- 40', 1 - 1, Gonzalez P. ⚽, Viera M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Quintero D. ↓, Verges J. ↑,
- 51', Penilla C. 🟨,
- 53', Burbano R. ↓, Mancilla Quinones J. L. ↑,
- 55', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
- 55', Morales J. 🟨,
- 63', Dos Santos J. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
- 67', Morales J. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
- 67', Gonzalez P. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Juambeltz M. (Pen),
- 87', Arena N. 🟨,
- 88', Orejuela C. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
- 88', Davila E. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
- 90', Tello M. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 90', Viera M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
- 90+4', Juambeltz M. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará
41.8% | Draw
29.7% | Mushuc Runa
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.1) |
3.08 ↓
(3.33) |
3.24 ↓
(3.28) |
8.9%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Macará will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.
- Macará has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mushuc Runa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Macará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Macará is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Mushuc Runa?
Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Deportivo Macará?
Mushuc Runa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
03.05.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Deportivo Macará
4:3
03.11.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Deportivo Macará
2:1
11.05.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Mushuc Runa
0:0
04.09.2022
Deportivo Macará
-
Mushuc Runa
3:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
| 9 | Macara | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 41 |
| 10 | Aucas | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 28:44 | -16 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
