Manta vs Deportivo Macará: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Manta - Deportivo Macará
Result
1:3
27/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 30
  • Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)
Manta - Deportivo Macará - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.79
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
132
Passes
60% (174/289)61% (167/272)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.691.91
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
132
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1324
Passes
60% (174/289)61% (167/272)
Long passes
32% (25/78)36% (28/77)
Passes in final third
45% (60/132)54% (42/78)
Crosses
21% (7/33)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.51
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
2413
Tackles
64% (7/11)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4565
Clearances
3151
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.910.69
Goals prevented
-1.09-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 32', Penarrieta J. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Viera M. , Gonzalez P. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Valencia D. , Alman J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 64', Viera M. , Paz F. ,
  • 64', Blanc G. , Cazares J. ,
  • 65', Chala J. , Zambrano J. ,
  • 65', Penarrieta J. , Ramirez B. ,
  • 76', Correa C. , Cuero D. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Paz F. , Morales J. (A),
  • 85', Mina J. , Castillo A. ,
  • 85', Jaramillo M. , Almeida F. ,
  • 86', Juambeltz M. , Chere A. ,
  • 86', Gonzalez P. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 90', Valencia M. , Zorrilla E. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Morales J. , Chere A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Manta
14.3%
Draw
32.7%
Deportivo Macará
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 31% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 30.8% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manta's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Macará's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+19.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-17.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manta - Deportivo Macará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.59
    (2.75)
    3.78
    (3)
    2.19
    (2.65)
    -17.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    • Macará is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 2.
    • Manta has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Macará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Macará has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Macará is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Manta won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
    30.05.2025 Deportivo Macará - Manta 2:2
    18.10.2023 Deportivo Macará - Manta 1:3
    30.08.2023 Manta - Deportivo Macará 1:1
    15.06.2023 Manta - Deportivo Macará 3:1
    18.04.2023 Deportivo Macará - Manta 2:0
    Latest results of Manta
    20.09.2025 Vinotinto - Manta 4:1
    15.09.2025 Manta - SD Aucas 1:1
    30.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - Manta 2:0
    23.08.2025 Manta - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1
    17.08.2025 LDU Quito - Manta 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Macará
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca311371136:32446
    8Emelec311291033:35-245
    9Macara3110111035:32341
    10Aucas311181240:44-441
    11EL Nacional31981434:48-1435
    12Delfin316141128:44-1632

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Manta - Deportivo Macará?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
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