Deportivo Macará vs Libertad Loja: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja
Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 29
Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.83
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
613
Passes
85% (287/339)76% (214/281)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.881.07
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
134
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
613
Touches in opposition box
1013
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
85% (287/339)76% (214/281)
Long passes
49% (26/53)38% (18/47)
Passes in final third
74% (86/116)64% (61/95)
Crosses
30% (7/23)19% (6/32)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.32
Throw-ins
819
Fouls
1310
Tackles
71% (10/14)38% (3/8)
Duels won
4539
Clearances
3022
Interceptions
122
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.070.88
Goals prevented
0.07-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Humanante J. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Gonzalez P. ,
  • 64', Morales J. , Paz F. ,
  • 64', Tello M. , Cazares J. ,
  • 64', Humanante J. , Bravo J. ,
  • 64', Arboleda C. , Caicedo N. ,
  • 65', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
  • 73', Caicedo E. , Quinonez A. ,
  • 73', Ayovi W. , Avila D. ,
  • 80', Gonzalez P. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 80', Viera M. , Mohor J. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Caicedo N. , Quinonez O. (A),
  • 89', Blanc G. , Alvarez L. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Macará
50.2%
Draw
27.7%
Libertad Loja
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 28.5% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 28.1% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Macará's performance.
  • Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.05)
    3.37
    (3.25)
    4.22
    (3.5)
    6.4%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • Macará is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Libertad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Macará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Macará has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Macará is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Macará won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Libertad Loja - Deportivo Macará 0:1
    16.08.2024 Libertad Loja - Deportivo Macará 0:1
    15.03.2024 Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja 3:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Macará
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca311371136:32446
    8Emelec311291033:35-245
    9Macara3110111035:32341
    10Aucas311181240:44-441
    11EL Nacional31981434:48-1435
    12Delfin316141128:44-1632

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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