Result
14/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Pro - Round 28
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
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Chances of winning
El Nacional 35.9% | Draw 29.1% | Deportivo Macará 35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Nacional's form might have worsened.Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Macará's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+16.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
El Nacional - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.56 ↑ (1.81) |
3.15 ↓ (3.4) |
2.64 ↓ (4.2) |
8.7% (8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Deportivo Macará?
El Nacional has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against El Nacional?
Deportivo Macará has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
17.05.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
El Nacional
1:1
11.08.2024
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Macará
1:3
09.03.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
El Nacional
1:0
Latest results of El Nacional
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 53:21 | 32 | 62 |
2 | LDU Quito | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 48 |
3 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
4 | Orense | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 45 |
5 | U. Catolica | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 43 |
6 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Libertad | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 40:35 | 5 | 42 |
8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Delfin | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 30 |
13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
15 | Vinotinto | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
16 | Mushuc Runa | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 31:48 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Which TV channels are streaming of El Nacional - Deportivo Macará?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |