Caracas vs Deportivo La Guaira: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Venezuelan Primera Division Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira
Result
0:3
23/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 4
Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.211.30
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
04
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
83% (331/399)80% (253/316)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.211.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.34
Total shots
715
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
916
Passes
83% (331/399)80% (253/316)
Long passes
43% (23/53)51% (31/61)
Passes in final third
56% (35/62)65% (51/79)
Crosses
23% (3/13)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.240.39
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
169
Tackles
85% (11/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
3944
Clearances
1319
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.340.00
Goals prevented
-0.660.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', De Santis J. 🟨,
  • 42', Covea M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Rito E. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Hernandez J. , Aguilar D. ,
  • 61', Heraldez L. , Vegas M. ,
  • 61', Marquez M. , Murillo J. ,
  • 69', Ibarra R. 🟨,
  • 69', Rito E. , Jimenez N. ,
  • 71', Castellanos J. , Castillo S. ,
  • 81', Peralta R. 🟨,
  • 83', Pena L. , Fereira Penaranda E. E. ,
  • 84', Ibarra R. , Flores F. ,
  • 84', Uribe A. , Rivas Y. ,
  • 84', Gudino I. , Tegues D. ,
  • 87', Meza J. , Osio D. ,
  • 90', 0 - 2, Flores F. (Pen),
  • 90+3', 0 - 3, Fereira Penaranda E. E. , Faya C. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Caracas
31.1%
Draw
30.1%
Deportivo La Guaira
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 30.5% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 31.4% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caracas's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo La Guaira's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caracas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.51)
    3.08
    (3)
    2.38
    (2.77)
    8%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 2.
    • Caracas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Deportivo La Guaira is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:19. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira were as follows:
    06.03.2025 Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas 0:2
    15.02.2025 Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas 1:0
    17.07.2024 Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas 0:0
    02.02.2024 Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira 2:0
    02.07.2023 Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas 2:2
    Latest results of Caracas
    13.07.2025 Metropolitanos - Caracas 2:3
    06.07.2025 Caracas - Rayo Zuliano 2:1
    02.07.2025 Dynamo Puerto - Caracas 2:2
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira440011:11012
    2Dep. Tachira43107:3410
    3Caracas43016:609
    4Carabobo32104:137
    5Metropolitanos31116:604
    6Universidad Central41124:404
    7Zamora31113:304
    8Portuguesa31112:204
    9Estudiantes Merida41123:4-14
    10Puerto Cabello31113:4-14
    11Monagas31022:4-23
    12Rayo Zuliano41033:8-53
    13Yaracuyanos30032:5-30
    14Anzoategui FC30030:5-50

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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