Deportivo La Equidad vs Deportivo Pasto: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

31/08/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá).

: Primera A - Clausura - Round 9
Referee: Suarez L. (Col)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.23	0.82
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
5	12
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
81% (225/279)	83% (286/345)
Yellow Cards
3	5
Red Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.23	0.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.04	0.01
Total shots
5	12
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
2	9
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
2	5
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
7	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
20	9
Passes
81% (225/279)	83% (286/345)
Long passes
42% (20/48)	64% (34/53)
Passes in final third
55% (27/49)	74% (67/91)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.14	0.85
Throw-ins
17	22
Fouls
12	20
Tackles
83% (10/12)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
40	38
Clearances
13	13
Interceptions
3	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.01	0.04
Goals prevented
0.01	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Colorado J. 🟥,
44', Parra Atehortua K. 🟨,
45+1', Bone F. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Abonia Y. 🟨,
60', Villa F. 🟨,
66', Espinal F. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
67', Valois Y. 🟨,
71', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟥,
77', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Bolivar J. ↑,
77', Mayo S. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
81', Mendez J. ↓, Ordonez F. ↑,
81', Camacho D. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
81', Villa F. ↓, Jaramillo F. ↑,
82', Masllorens J. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
84', Rios J. 🟨,
86', Rodas M. 🟨,
90+1', Castilla J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
90+2', Rios J. 🟨,
90+4', Gil N. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/373xrjs9

Chances of winning

Deportivo La Equidad
40.6%

Draw
34.8%

Deportivo Pasto
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

33.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

30.1%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Equidad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Pasto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.51)	2.68 ↓ (2.8)	3.79 ↑ (3.22)	7.1% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 2.
In recent matches, La Equidad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Pasto has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
La Equidad might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Deportivo Pasto?

Deportivo La Equidad has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Deportivo La Equidad?

Deportivo Pasto has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:

14.03.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo La Equidad 2:1

11.11.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto 2:2

22.04.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo La Equidad 2:3

08.10.2023 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto 1:0

21.09.2022 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto 2:3

Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad

23.08.2025 Independiente Medellín - Deportivo La Equidad 3:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Llaneros SA 2:1 ✺

11.08.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo La Equidad 0:0 ✺

01.08.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena 0:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Envigado - Deportivo La Equidad 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Pasto

28.08.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas 1:2 ✺

22.08.2025 Llaneros SA - Deportivo Pasto 2:1 ✺

18.08.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín 1:2 ✺

14.08.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Envigado 0:1 ✺

07.08.2025 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pasto 1:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	11	6	3	2	22:14	8	21
2	Fortaleza	11	5	6	0	15:9	6	21
3	Bucaramanga	10	6	2	2	18:9	9	20
4	Deportes Tolima	11	6	2	3	14:7	7	20
5	Ind. Medellin	10	6	2	2	19:13	6	20
6	Llaneros	11	5	3	3	10:9	1	18
7	Atl. Nacional	11	4	5	2	18:12	6	17
8	Santa Fe	11	4	4	3	11:10	1	16
9	Alianza	11	4	3	4	13:15	-2	15
10	Dep. Cali	11	3	5	3	13:16	-3	14
11	Pereira	11	3	4	4	9:10	-1	13
12	Once Caldas	11	3	4	4	10:12	-2	13
13	Envigado	11	2	5	4	9:11	-2	11
14	Millonarios	11	3	2	6	11:15	-4	11
15	La Equidad	11	2	5	4	7:11	-4	11
16	U. Magdalena	11	3	2	6	11:18	-7	11
17	Chico	11	2	4	5	7:15	-8	10
18	Dep. Pasto	10	2	3	5	11:13	-2	9
19	Aguilas	10	1	5	4	10:15	-5	8
20	America De Cali	9	1	3	5	5:9	-4	6

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2