Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso
15/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
71.8%
Draw
17.8%
Deportivo Garcilaso
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.3% 17.7% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 12% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-23.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Cristal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Garcilaso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.32)
    5.3
    (5.29)
    8.75
    (8.54)
    7.1%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)
    • Sporting Cristal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deportivo Garcilaso is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Sporting Cristal is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
    17.09.2024 Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0
    15.04.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal 2:3
    13.08.2023 Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso 3:0
    12.03.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal 4:4
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    2Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    3FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    4Alianza Atl1381420:12825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    7Cusco1372425:18723
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1345423:19417
    11Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    12Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    13Grau1236317:18-115
    14Cajamarca1342714:29-1514
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1215614:23-98
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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