Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas
Result
3:0
18/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.22
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1327
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
59
Passes
81% (249/308)88% (335/380)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.780.70
Total shots
1327
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
511
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
419
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
814
Passes
81% (249/308)88% (335/380)
Long passes
56% (32/57)62% (23/37)
Passes in final third
70% (61/87)81% (117/144)
Crosses
44% (4/9)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.73
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
148
Tackles
86% (12/14)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3935
Clearances
4121
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.701.78
Goals prevented
0.70-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Lojas J. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Sandoval K. , Beltran C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Sandoval K. , Erustes P. (A),
  • 62', Quiroz A. , Santiago G. ,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Naya E. , Erustes P. (A),
  • 69', Canales E. 🟨,
  • 77', Celi Y. , Garrafa Tapia I. A. ,
  • 77', Naya E. , Bazan J. ,
  • 82', Mogollon E. , Zamalloa F. ,
  • 87', Paucar E. , Moreno X. ,
  • 87', Sandoval K. , Gallardo J. ,
  • 90+1', Erustes P. , Valer J. F. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
47.1%
Draw
28.5%
Los Chankas
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 28.5% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50% 30.9% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.04)
    3.29
    (3.31)
    3.79
    (3.71)
    7.4%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Los Chankas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Deportivo Garcilaso will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Los Chankas: Velarde C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Los Chankas: Quintana A. (Injury) Saravia F. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas were as follows:
    10.02.2025 Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:2
    29.09.2024 Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0
    28.04.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas 1:1
    Latest results of Los Chankas
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco861111:5619
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7AD Tarma941410:12-213
    8Cienciano933314:12212
    9Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    10Los Chankas840412:20-812
    11Grau932412:12011
    12Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    13Alianza Atl82426:3310
    14Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys101365:13-86
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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