Deportivo Garcilaso vs Juan Pablo II College: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Deportivo Garcilaso - Juan Pablo II College
Result
4:0
25/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Juan Pablo II College - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.38
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
71% (154/216)87% (461/531)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.38
xG on target (xGOT)
2.280.24
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
149
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
320
Passes
71% (154/216)87% (461/531)
Long passes
49% (26/53)68% (34/50)
Passes in final third
57% (39/68)74% (74/100)
Crosses
38% (6/16)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.49
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
203
Tackles
79% (11/14)89% (8/9)
Duels won
2937
Clearances
1411
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.242.28
Goals prevented
0.24-1.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Beltran C. , Nunez O. (A),
  • 26', Beltran C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 54', 2 - 0, Ugarriza A. , Erustes P. (A),
  • 55', Nunez O. 🟨,
  • 55', Duran J. 🟨,
  • 60', 3 - 0, Erustes P. , Naya E. (A),
  • 62', Roca F. , Villar E. ,
  • 62', Aliaga R. , Rojas A. ,
  • 66', Beltran C. , Moreno X. ,
  • 71', 4 - 0, Erustes P. , Ugarriza A. (A),
  • 73', Sanchez A. , Peralta M. ,
  • 73', Rodriguez N. , Fernandez R. ,
  • 73', Duran J. , Flores C. ,
  • 74', Erustes P. , Celi Y. ,
  • 80', Alfani R. 🟨,
  • 84', Canales E. , Garrafa Tapia I. A. ,
  • 84', Ugarriza A. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 85', Nunez O. , Avendano F. ,
  • 86', Salazar A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
68.5%
Draw
19.6%
Juan Pablo II College
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 20.9% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 21.7% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - Juan Pablo II College Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.45)
    4.77
    (4.5)
    7.97
    (6.61)
    6.9%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16).
    • Recent form of Deportivo Garcilaso has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Juan Pablo II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Juan Pablo II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Bazan J. (Red Card) Garcia C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Erustes P. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal330010:0109
    2Cusco33006:069
    3U. de Deportes32107:347
    4Deportivo Garcilaso32105:147
    5Ayacucho31113:304
    6Sport Huancayo31115:6-14
    7Alianza Lima31113:4-14
    8FBC Melgar31112:3-14
    9Alianza Atl30301:103
    10Alianza Huanuco31024:5-13
    11Grau21013:4-13
    12Juan Pablo II31025:7-23
    13Los Chankas21013:5-23
    14AD Tarma21011:3-23
    15Cajamarca20111:2-11
    16Cienciano30122:4-21
    17Binacional20110:2-21
    18Comerciantes Unidos30123:6-31
    19Sport Boys30120:5-51

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