Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cajamarca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca
Result
0:0
25/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.75
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
80% (237/296)83% (359/432)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.740.38
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
98
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
80% (237/296)83% (359/432)
Long passes
47% (28/59)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
56% (44/78)62% (71/114)
Crosses
30% (6/20)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.59
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
1410
Tackles
88% (7/8)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3141
Clearances
2327
Interceptions
1910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.380.74
Goals prevented
0.380.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Arancibia F. , Bazan J. ,
  • 33', Campos D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Canales E. 🟨,
  • 55', Oncoy F. 🟨,
  • 62', Salazar A. 🟨,
  • 67', Gomez N. , Celi Y. ,
  • 67', Naya E. , Sinisterra J. ,
  • 70', Ramirez E. , Balanta G. ,
  • 77', Canales E. , Portales J. ,
  • 78', Sandoval K. , Moreno X. ,
  • 85', Vasquez A. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 86', Oncoy F. , Aguirre J. ,
  • 90', Quintero J. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 90+1', Vega J. , Villamarin R. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
63.8%
Draw
21.8%
Cajamarca
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 22% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2% 21.1% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.49)
    4.34
    (4.1)
    6.7
    (5.2)
    6.5%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 18).
    • Deportivo Garcilaso is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cajamarca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:1
    12.07.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca 1:0
    26.01.2024 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0
    03.09.2023 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso 0:0
    16.04.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca 2:2
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1293023:81530
    2Cusco1171318:10822
    3AD Tarma1262415:15020
    4Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    5FBC Melgar1346318:13518
    6Alianza Lima1253418:14418
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1246216:16018
    8Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    9Cienciano1143416:15115
    10Grau1243516:15115
    11Comerciantes Unidos1143413:16-315
    12Los Chankas1050514:23-915
    13Alianza Atl1134410:8213
    14Alianza Huanuco1241714:24-1013
    15Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    16Juan Pablo II112549:14-511
    17Ayacucho113178:17-910
    18Cajamarca111379:16-76
    19Binacional00000:000

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