Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso
Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11
Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.75
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
81% (360/443)68% (181/265)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.600.13
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
81% (360/443)68% (181/265)
Long passes
48% (32/66)35% (22/62)
Passes in final third
64% (108/168)46% (40/87)
Crosses
21% (3/14)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.57
Throw-ins
1818
Fouls
1111
Tackles
80% (8/10)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4362
Clearances
3125
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.132.60
Goals prevented
0.130.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Vasquez A. ,
  • 29', Garcia C. 🟨,
  • 31', Garcia C. , Paucar E. ,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Aguirre J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gariglio I. , Moreno X. ,
  • 64', Palacios B. , Balanta G. ,
  • 67', Celi Y. 🟨,
  • 75', Bazan J. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 84', Celi Y. , Salazar A. ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Quintero J. (Pen),
  • 90', Vasquez A. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 90', Ramirez E. , Lujan J. ,
  • 90+4', Campos D. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Serra P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cajamarca
32.7%
Draw
29.4%
Deportivo Garcilaso
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 29.4% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 30.2% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.72)
    3.21
    (3.2)
    2.44
    (2.62)
    7.2%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Deportivo Garcilaso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Deportivo Garcilaso might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Gomez N. (Red Card) Naya E. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Cajamarca: Mejia C. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
    12.07.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca 1:0
    26.01.2024 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0
    03.09.2023 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso 0:0
    16.04.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca 2:2
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    2FBC Melgar1273221:13824
    3U. de Deportes1272327:121523
    4Alianza Lima1272315:10523
    5Sporting Cristal1271422:15722
    6Alianza Atl1271418:11722
    7Cusco1262423:17620
    8Deportivo Garcilaso1362520:14620
    9AD Tarma1354422:23-119
    10Sport Boys1244420:20016
    11Los Chankas1236317:17015
    12Cienciano1235417:18-114
    13Cajamarca1242613:23-1014
    14Binacional1234515:20-513
    15Grau1126314:18-412
    16Juan Pablo II1132613:16-311
    17Comerciantes Unidos1115513:21-88
    18Ayacucho121389:22-136
    19Alianza Huanuco1213810:24-146

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