Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo La Equidad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/04/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira).

: Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
Referee: Melendez Panneflek A. J. (Col)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	0.64
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
84% (321/384)	79% (239/303)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	0.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.48	0.45
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
10	7
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
20	11
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
12	17
Passes
84% (321/384)	79% (239/303)
Long passes
50% (20/40)	46% (18/39)
Passes in final third
65% (62/95)	59% (34/58)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	0.51
Fouls
17	12
Tackles
82% (9/11)	89% (17/19)
Duels won
32	48
Clearances Total
12	20
Interceptions
4	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.45	1.48
Goals prevented
-0.55	-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
28', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
33', Mejia V. 🟨,
41', Rodriguez E. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Juan Quintero ⚽, Barrera J. (A),
45+2', Orozco S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mejia V. ↓, Gordillo Y. ↑,
46', Galindo J. ↓, Cabal J. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Cabal J. ⚽, Castillo F. (A),
65', Juan Quintero 🟨,
65', Renan Oliveira ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
65', Mayo S. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
70', Angel Amaya Pena M. 🟨,
71', Castillo F. ↓, Javier Reina ↑,
72', Barrera J. 🟨,
75', 3 - 1, Javier Reina ⚽,
77', Correa A. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
77', Lopez S. ↓, Cruz W. ↑,
79', Cabal J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
90+4', Cruz W. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mwrky57s

Chances of winning

Deportivo Cali 52.3%

Draw 28.5%

Deportivo La Equidad 19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Deportivo Cali 50.1%

Draw 27%

Deportivo La Equidad 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Deportivo Cali 52%

Draw 26%

Deportivo La Equidad 22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	4.89 ↑ (4)	7.1% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 20).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cali won 0.
Recent matches Deportivo Cali is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
La Equidad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Deportivo Cali is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cali won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:19 (average 1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Cali won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Deportivo La Equidad?

Deportivo Cali has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Deportivo Cali?

Deportivo La Equidad has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:

21.09.2024 Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad 1:1

08.03.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Cali 2:0

19.09.2023 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Cali 1:1

08.04.2023 Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad 0:0

26.09.2022 Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad 1:2

Latest results of Deportivo Cali

29.03.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Cali 1:1 ✺

24.03.2025 Deportivo Cali - América de Cali 1:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Deportivo Cali - Boyacá Chicó 0:0 ✺

03.03.2025 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Cali 2:2 ✺

23.02.2025 Deportivo Cali - Millonarios 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad

31.03.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla 0:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF 1:1 ✺

14.03.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo La Equidad 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Medellín 0:0 ✺

04.03.2025 Llaneros SA - Deportivo La Equidad 1:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America De Cali	18	9	6	3	25:12	13	33
2	Atl. Nacional	17	9	5	3	32:15	17	32
3	Junior	17	8	7	2	20:11	9	31
4	Millonarios	16	9	3	4	23:13	10	30
5	Ind. Medellin	16	7	8	1	17:6	11	29
6	Santa Fe	17	7	6	4	23:16	7	27
7	Deportes Tolima	16	7	6	3	22:15	7	27
8	Once Caldas	16	8	2	6	19:18	1	26
9	Dep. Pasto	17	7	5	5	17:16	1	26
10	Dep. Cali	17	5	9	3	14:12	2	24
11	Alianza	17	6	5	6	14:18	-4	23
12	Pereira	16	5	6	5	18:19	-1	21
13	Bucaramanga	17	5	5	7	16:18	-2	20
14	Envigado	17	5	3	9	15:24	-9	18
15	Llaneros	17	5	2	10	16:22	-6	17
16	Fortaleza	17	4	5	8	10:22	-12	17
17	Chico	18	3	8	7	10:26	-16	17
18	Aguilas	17	1	9	7	11:17	-6	12
19	La Equidad	17	2	4	11	12:24	-12	10
20	U. Magdalena	16	0	8	8	12:22	-10	8

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America