Deportivo Alavés vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz).

: LaLiga - Round 31
Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	0.68
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
89% (445/501)	85% (343/404)
Yellow Cards
4	4
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	0.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.85	0.91
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
18	20
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
12	21
Passes
89% (445/501)	85% (343/404)
Long passes
65% (31/48)	52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
80% (131/163)	70% (64/92)
Crosses
23% (7/30)	43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.72
Fouls
21	12
Tackles
57% (13/23)	56% (10/18)
Duels won
47	61
Clearances Total
15	24
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
0.91	0.85
Goals prevented
-0.09	0.85

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Camavinga E. ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
38', Mbappe K. 🟥,
42', Joan Jordan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Martin C. 🟨,
60', Martin C. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
62', Guler A. ↓, Vinicius Junior ↑,
62', Rodrygo ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
70', Sanchez M. 🟥,
76', Joan Jordan ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
76', Abqar A. ↓, Diarra M. ↑,
77', Garcia F. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
77', Tenaglia N. 🟨,
80', Camavinga E. 🟨,
84', Blanco A. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
84', Alena C. ↓, Cabanes P. ↑,
88', Lucas 🟨,
90+2', Valverde F. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
90+6', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
90+7', Courtois T. 🟨,
90+9', Protesoni C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Deportivo Alavés
19.2%

Draw
24.6%

Real Madrid
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

22.6%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

22.2%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+5%)

Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↓ (5.6)	3.92 ↓ (4.26)	1.7 ↑ (1.6)	4.1% (3.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid?

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (77 of 91 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.21% – 92.03%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 0.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Alavés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Real is a favorite.
There will not play in Alavés: Conechny T. (Yellow Cards) Guridi J. (Yellow Cards) Sivera A. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Real: Alaba D. (Overload) Lunin A. (Calf Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Alavés won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 10:41 (average 0.7:2.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:17 (average 0.9:2.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Real Madrid?

Deportivo Alavés has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Deportivo Alavés?

Real Madrid has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid were as follows:

24.09.2024 Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 3:2

14.05.2024 Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 5:0

21.12.2023 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1

Latest results of Deportivo Alavés

05.04.2025 Girona - Deportivo Alavés 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano 0:2 ✺

14.03.2025 Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés 2:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal 1:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:4 ✺

29.03.2025 Real Madrid - Leganés 3:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Villarreal - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Elche	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Ath Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Betis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Levante	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Girona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	R. Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 1, ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22, SCTV Online
World	Disney+