Universitario de Deportes vs Deportes Tolima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
0:0
26/05/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
Universitario de Deportes - Deportes Tolima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.920.18
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
23
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
93
Passes
74% (331/448)80% (399/499)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.920.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.24
Total shots
117
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
52
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
166
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
1913
Passes
74% (331/448)80% (399/499)
Long passes
42% (31/74)39% (23/59)
Passes in final third
58% (104/180)61% (54/89)
Crosses
22% (6/27)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.18
Throw ins
3020
Fouls
1319
Tackles
75% (9/12)76% (16/21)
Duels won
5858
Clearances
1349
Interceptions
1812
Errors leading to shot
04
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
0.240.28
Goals prevented
0.240.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Fertoli H. , Murrugarra J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Gonzalez J. , Torres Patino J. P. ,
  • 64', Alzugaray L. , Flores E. ,
  • 77', Perez Guedes M. , Gassama S. ,
  • 77', Carabali J. , Inga C. ,
  • 77', Parra Osorio A. , Florez K. ,
  • 77', Barbosa Gomez S. P. , Angulo J. ,
  • 84', Arrieta C. 🟨,
  • 87', Arrieta C. , Mosquera J. ,
  • 90+6', Torres Patino J. P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universitario de Deportes
38.4%
Draw
32%
Deportes Tolima
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 29.4% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 30.4% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Deportes's form might have worsened.
  • Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Tolima's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Deportes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Universitario de Deportes - Deportes Tolima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (1.91)
    2.97
    (3.18)
    3.27
    (4.29)
    5.2%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Deportes Tolima?
    • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 16.1%74.9%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Uni de Deportes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Deportes Tolima's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Uni de Deportes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Uni de Deportes has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Uni de Deportes is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H. (Injury) Rivera J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Deportes Tolima: Mera J. (Inactive) Ricardo E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Polo A. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni de Deportes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
    07.04.2026 Deportes Tolima - Universitario de Deportes 0:0
    Latest results of Deportes Tolima
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ651014:21216
    2Estudiantes L.P62316:519
    3Ind. Medellin62136:11-57
    4Cusco60154:12-81


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo63128:6210
    2Deportes Tolima62227:618
    3Nacional62227:9-28
    4U. de Deportes61325:6-16


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia651015:6916
    2Fluminense62227:708
    3Bolivar61236:8-25
    4La Guaira60336:13-73


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica64118:4413
    2Cruzeiro63218:3511
    3Boca Juniors62136:517
    4Barcelona SC61052:12-103


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians63218:4411
    2Platense63128:7110
    3Santa Fe62226:7-18
    4Penarol60334:8-43


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Porteno64116:2413
    2Palmeiras632110:5511
    3Sporting Cristal62046:9-36
    4Junior61145:11-64


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito64028:5312
    2Mirassol64027:4312
    3Lanus63033:7-49
    4Always Ready61057:9-23


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle641111:6513
    2Rosario Central64119:1813
    3Universidad Central63037:11-49
    4Libertad Asuncion60064:13-90

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Universitario de Deportes - Deportes Tolima?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    boliviaBoliviaESPN 6, ESPN
    brazilBrazilParamount+
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    chileChileDisney+, ESPN 6
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    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
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    ukraineUkraineMaincast Sport
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 6, Inter
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