Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Palogrande (Manizales).

: Primera A - Clausura - Round 8
Referee: Melendez Panneflek A. J. (Col)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	1.88
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
11	18
Shots on target
5	7
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
81% (277/344)	81% (304/375)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	1.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.31	1.16
Total shots
11	18
Shots on target
5	7
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
6	12
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
13	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
13	7
Passes
81% (277/344)	81% (304/375)
Long passes
38% (20/52)	56% (28/50)
Passes in final third
72% (84/116)	72% (96/134)
Crosses
23% (5/22)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.58	1.09
Throw-ins
23	19
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
92% (11/12)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
35	30
Clearances
20	12
Interceptions
6	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	5
xGOT faced
1.16	0.31
Goals prevented
0.16	0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Perez K. 🟨,
26', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
45', Trujillo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rojas I. ↓, Garcia Castillo A. ↑,
50', Riquett J. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Velasquez S. ⚽, Gonzalez M. (A),
63', Cuesta Santos J. D. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
63', Sanchez L. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
63', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
68', Gonzalez M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
68', Velasquez S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
69', Lencina G. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
75', Perez K. (Pen),
78', Gonzalez J. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
79', Aguirre J. 🟨,
79', Parra Osorio A. 🟨,
82', Zuleta M. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
82', Hurtado Torres Y. D. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5knt7fjv

Chances of winning

Once Caldas
36.5%

Draw
31%

Deportes Tolima
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

31.4%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

31.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.52)	3.01 ↑ (2.98)	2.87 ↓ (2.97)	7.3% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportes Tolima?

Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Once Caldas?

Deportes Tolima has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima were as follows:

10.03.2025 Deportes Tolima - Once Caldas 2:0

08.12.2024 Deportes Tolima - Once Caldas 1:0

21.11.2024 Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima 0:0

25.10.2024 Deportes Tolima - Once Caldas 1:1

26.05.2024 Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima 0:1

Latest results of Once Caldas

22.08.2025 Patriotas - Once Caldas 1:0 ✺

19.08.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Once Caldas 1:3 ✺

15.08.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas 0:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Once Caldas - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportes Tolima

17.08.2025 Deportes Tolima - Millonarios 3:1 ✺

13.08.2025 Real Cundinamarca - Deportes Tolima 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 América de Cali - Deportes Tolima 0:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional 0:0 ✺

29.07.2025 Deportes Tolima - Real Cundinamarca 1:2 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	9	6	2	1	20:10	10	20
2	Ind. Medellin	9	6	1	2	16:10	6	19
3	Deportes Tolima	9	5	2	2	10:6	4	17
4	Atl. Nacional	9	4	4	1	15:8	7	16
5	Fortaleza	9	3	6	0	13:9	4	15
6	Llaneros	9	4	2	3	9:9	0	14
7	Bucaramanga	7	4	1	2	14:8	6	13
8	Santa Fe	9	3	3	3	9:10	-1	12
9	Pereira	10	3	3	4	9:10	-1	12
10	Alianza	9	3	3	3	9:12	-3	12
11	Envigado	9	2	4	3	8:9	-1	10
12	La Equidad	9	2	4	3	6:9	-3	10
13	Dep. Cali	9	2	4	3	11:15	-4	10
14	Chico	10	2	4	4	7:11	-4	10
15	Dep. Pasto	8	2	3	3	10:10	0	9
16	Once Caldas	9	2	3	4	9:12	-3	9
17	U. Magdalena	9	2	2	5	8:15	-7	8
18	Millonarios	8	2	1	5	10:12	-2	7
19	Aguilas	9	1	4	4	9:14	-5	7
20	America De Cali	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz