Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Colombian Primera A Deportes Tolima - Millonarios
Result
3:1
17/08/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
Deportes Tolima - Millonarios - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.63
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
245
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
92% (564/616)75% (194/258)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.450.38
Total shots
245
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
122
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
90
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
629
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
311
Passes
92% (564/616)75% (194/258)
Long passes
82% (32/39)30% (14/47)
Passes in final third
87% (246/284)35% (14/40)
Crosses
26% (9/34)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
3.310.18
Throw-ins
186
Fouls
113
Tackles
71% (10/14)71% (15/21)
Duels won
2745
Clearances
131
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.381.45
Goals prevented
-0.62-1.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', Castro A. 🟥,
  • 21', Novoa D. 🟨,
  • 23', Torres M. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Arias J. ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Rovira B. , Velasquez S. (A),
  • 37', Hurtado J. , Vargas J. ,
  • 37', Giordana S. , Victoria Palacios D. S. ,
  • 41', De Amores G. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Rovira B. , Velasquez S. (A),
  • 45+5', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Rovira B. 🟨,
  • 58', Gonzalez M. , Torres Patino J. P. ,
  • 60', Angulo A. 🟨,
  • 68', Castro Espinosa B. D. , Mosquera E. ,
  • 68', Gonzalez J. , Valencia E. ,
  • 69', Velasquez S. , Hernandez J. ,
  • 69', Rovira B. , Trujillo C. ,
  • 72', Banguero D. 🟨,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Lencina G. , Perez K. (A),
  • 82', Sarabia C. , Marimon L. ,
  • 82', Viveros S. , Cuero B. ,
  • 87', Nieto J. , Mera J. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5n6kxaj3

Official Live

Chances of winning


Deportes Tolima
39.4%
Draw
32.5%
Millonarios
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 32.7% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 31.8% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Deportes Tolima - Millonarios Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.36)
    2.86
    (2.87)
    3.28
    (3.41)
    7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Millonarios?
  • Users Predictions: Deportes Tolima will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.47%97.53%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportes Tolima will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 1.
    • Recent performances by Deportes Tolima have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Millonarios is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Millonarios were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Millonarios - Deportes Tolima 2:0
    02.08.2024 Millonarios - Deportes Tolima 1:0
    03.02.2024 Deportes Tolima - Millonarios 2:0
    07.08.2023 Millonarios - Deportes Tolima 1:0
    29.03.2023 Deportes Tolima - Millonarios 1:1
    Latest results of Deportes Tolima
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior852116:10617
    2Ind. Medellin851213:9416
    3Deportes Tolima85129:5416
    4Fortaleza835012:8414
    5Llaneros84229:5414
    6Atl. Nacional834114:8613
    7Pereira83329:8112
    8Santa Fe83328:8012
    9Envigado82428:8010
    10Dep. Cali723210:12-29
    11La Equidad82336:9-39
    12Alianza82338:12-49
    13U. Magdalena82248:14-68
    14Bucaramanga52129:817
    15Aguilas71428:807
    16Chico71336:9-36
    17Dep. Pasto61238:10-25
    18America De Cali61235:7-25
    19Millonarios71158:11-34
    20Once Caldas70346:11-53

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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