Result
0:1
15/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.45 | 0.26 |
Ball Possession |
---|
70% | 30% |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
89% (561/628) | 76% (212/278) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.45 | 0.26 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.20 | 0.61 |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
16 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
18 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 5 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
89% (561/628) | 76% (212/278) |
Long passes |
---|
63% (22/35) | 43% (26/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (127/167) | 64% (43/67) |
Crosses |
---|
10% (3/31) | 29% (2/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.27 | 0.39 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 7 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
81% (13/16) | 77% (10/13) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 30 |
Clearances |
---|
7 | 42 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.61 | 0.20 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.39 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Castro A. 🟨,
- 61', Sandoval L. 🟨,
- 63', Arroyo A. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 67', Arizala J. ↓, Rodallega Y. ↑,
- 67', Berrio L. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
- 67', Marcus Vinicius ↓, Angulo ↑,
- 72', Castro A. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 72', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Lencina G. (A),
- 82', Perez K. 🟨,
- 83', Nieto J. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
- 83', Perez K. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
- 83', Moreno D. ↓, Segura N. ↑,
- 87', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
- 87', Hurtado Torres Y. D. 🟨,
- 88', Alvarado J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Fiermarin C. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2xpmee9t
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín 44.5% | Draw 31.5% | Deportes Tolima 23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Medellín's form might have worsened.Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Tolima's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+17.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Medellín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.1 ↑ (1.52) |
2.96 ↓ (3.8) |
3.92 ↓ (6.25) |
7% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 1.
- Recent matches Ind Medellín is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Deportes Tolima is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Deportes Tolima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Ind Medellín is certain favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:22 (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ind Medellín won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Deportes Tolima?
Independiente Medellín has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Independiente Medellín?
Deportes Tolima has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
22.09.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
09.03.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Medellín
2:2
05.03.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Medellín
0:1
14.09.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
01.04.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 35:18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Millonarios ✔ | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26:15 | 11 | 35 |
3 | Junior ✔ | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 34 |
4 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Santa Fe ✔ | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
6 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 29 |
8 | Once Caldas | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
10 | Dep. Pasto | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:17 | 0 | 26 |
11 | Alianza | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 26 |
12 | Pereira | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 24 |
14 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 20 |
15 | Chico | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12:27 | -15 | 20 |
16 | Aguilas | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15:18 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Envigado | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 18 |
18 | Llaneros | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 17 |
19 | La Equidad | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13:32 | -19 | 10 |
20 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 13:25 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Millonarios is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Santa Fe is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima?
It is being streamed on various channels, including: