Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima
Result
0:1
15/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.26
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
264
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
89% (561/628)76% (212/278)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.200.61
Total shots
264
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
161
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
81
Shots outside the Box
183
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
225
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
87
Passes
89% (561/628)76% (212/278)
Long passes
63% (22/35)43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
76% (127/167)64% (43/67)
Crosses
10% (3/31)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.39
Throw-ins
257
Fouls
78
Tackles
81% (13/16)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3730
Clearances
742
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.610.20
Goals prevented
-0.390.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Castro A. 🟨,
  • 61', Sandoval L. 🟨,
  • 63', Arroyo A. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 67', Arizala J. , Rodallega Y. ,
  • 67', Berrio L. , Alvarado J. ,
  • 67', Marcus Vinicius , Angulo ,
  • 72', Castro A. , Miranda L. ,
  • 72', Parra Osorio A. , Lencina G. ,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Gonzalez J. , Lencina G. (A),
  • 82', Perez K. 🟨,
  • 83', Nieto J. , Torres M. ,
  • 83', Perez K. , Trujillo C. ,
  • 83', Moreno D. , Segura N. ,
  • 87', Martinez Yepez H. E. , Perlaza B. ,
  • 87', Hurtado Torres Y. D. 🟨,
  • 88', Alvarado J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Quinones J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Fiermarin C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2xpmee9t

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
44.5%
Draw
31.5%
Deportes Tolima
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 24.3% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 24.8% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Medellín's form might have worsened.
  • Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Tolima's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+17.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Medellín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.52)
    2.96
    (3.8)
    3.92
    (6.25)
    7%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 1.
    • Recent matches Ind Medellín is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Deportes Tolima is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Deportes Tolima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Ind Medellín is certain favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:22 (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ind Medellín won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima 0:1
    09.03.2024 Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín 2:2
    05.03.2024 Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín 0:1
    14.09.2023 Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    01.04.2023 Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima 1:1
    Latest results of Deportes Tolima
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 19105435:181735
    2Millonarios ✔ 19105426:151135
    3Junior ✔ 1997323:14934
    4America De Cali ✔ 1896325:121333
    5Santa Fe ✔ 1996427:171033
    6Deportes Tolima ✔ 1896326:161033
    7Ind. Medellin1878317:9829
    8Once Caldas1783621:20127
    9Bucaramanga1975722:19326
    10Dep. Pasto1875617:17026
    11Alianza1975717:20-326
    12Pereira1867519:19025
    13Dep. Cali1959514:16-224
    14Fortaleza1955915:24-920
    15Chico1948712:27-1520
    16Aguilas1939715:18-318
    17Envigado19531115:27-1218
    18Llaneros18521117:24-717
    19La Equidad19241313:32-1910
    20U. Magdalena1708913:25-128

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Millonarios is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Santa Fe is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
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