Result
1:0
27/02/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (158/234) | 83% (363/435) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 59% (49/83) | 63% (72/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 39% (7/18) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 70% (14/20) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Barrios P. 🟨,
- 35', Perez K. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 45', Castro F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Nieto J. 🟨,
- 59', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 60', Torres M. 🟨,
- 62', Hernandez J. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
- 64', Martinez T. 🟨,
- 67', Castro F. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 78', Martinez T. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 78', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 79', Valencia E. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 79', Nieto J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 80', Hurtado Torres Y. D. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 82', Bordacahar C. 🟨,
- 82', Rovira B. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 0, Bordacahar C. (Pen),
- 88', Bordacahar C. ↓, Deneumostier A. ↑,
- 89', Castro A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ramirez G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
42.8% | Draw
30.7% | Deportes Tolima
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBC Melgar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.98) |
3.06 ↓
(3.31) |
3.59 ↓
(3.6) |
6%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS 4
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 42.8% – 90.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
- Melgar in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Deportes Tolima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Melgar will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Melgar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Deportes Tolima?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against FBC Melgar?
Deportes Tolima has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
20.02.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
FBC Melgar
0:1
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
Which TV channels are streaming of FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
