FBC Melgar vs Deportes Tolima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima
Result
1:0
27/02/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.84
Ball Possession
36%64%
Goal Attempts
913
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
37
Blocked Shots
34
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
73
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Free Kicks
1110
Offsides
10
Fouls
1011
Yellow Cards
55
Throw-ins
1924
Touches in the Opposition Box
1618
Passes
68% (158/234)83% (363/435)
Passes in the final third
59% (49/83)63% (72/115)
Crosses
24% (5/21)39% (7/18)
Tackles
67% (14/21)70% (14/20)
Clearances Total
2331
Interceptions
1313

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Barrios P. 🟨,
  • 35', Perez K. , Miranda L. ,
  • 45', Castro F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Nieto J. 🟨,
  • 59', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
  • 60', Torres M. 🟨,
  • 62', Hernandez J. , Velasquez S. ,
  • 64', Martinez T. 🟨,
  • 67', Castro F. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 78', Martinez T. , Guzman L. ,
  • 78', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. , Liza P. ,
  • 79', Valencia E. , Castro A. ,
  • 79', Nieto J. , Quinones J. ,
  • 80', Hurtado Torres Y. D. , Parra Osorio A. ,
  • 82', Bordacahar C. 🟨,
  • 82', Rovira B. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Bordacahar C. (Pen),
  • 88', Bordacahar C. , Deneumostier A. ,
  • 89', Castro A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ramirez G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


FBC Melgar
42.8%
Draw
30.7%
Deportes Tolima
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 27.8% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.9% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBC Melgar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.98)
    3.06
    (3.31)
    3.59
    (3.6)
    6%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS 4
  • What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Melgar in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Deportes Tolima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Melgar will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Melgar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
    20.02.2025 Deportes Tolima - FBC Melgar 0:1
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Latest results of Deportes Tolima
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. De Chile53118:5310
    2Estudiantes L.P53029:549
    3Botafogo RJ53027:529
    4Carabobo50142:11-91


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate ✔ 532012:6611
    2U. de Deportes52123:307
    3Ind. del Valle51226:10-45
    4Barcelona SC51133:5-24


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba53207:4311
    2Flamengo RJ52215:328
    3LDU Quito52215:418
    4Dep. Tachira50054:10-60


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo ✔ 53208:3511
    2Libertad Asuncion ✔ 52214:318
    3Talleres Cordoba51134:6-24
    4Alianza Lima51135:9-44


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club ✔ 531113:31010
    2Fortaleza ✔ 52218:448
    3Bucaramanga ✔ 51316:9-36
    4Colo Colo50234:15-112


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 53027:529
    2Internacional522110:738
    3Bahia52124:5-17
    4Nacional51136:10-44


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras ✔ 550011:4715
    2Cerro Porteno52127:707
    3Sporting Cristal51136:10-44
    4Bolivar51048:11-33


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield ✔ 531111:4710
    2Penarol ✔ 53119:4510
    3SA Bulo Bulo ✔ 52035:11-66
    4Olimpia Asuncion50235:11-62

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    River Plate is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Libertad Asuncion is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Racing Club is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Fortaleza is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bucaramanga is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Penarol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    SA Bulo Bulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    worldWorldDisney+
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