Result
1:0
27/02/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (158/234) | 83% (363/435) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 59% (49/83) | 63% (72/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 39% (7/18) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 70% (14/20) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Barrios P. 🟨,
- 35', Perez K. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 45', Castro F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Nieto J. 🟨,
- 59', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 60', Torres M. 🟨,
- 62', Hernandez J. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
- 64', Martinez T. 🟨,
- 67', Castro F. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 78', Martinez T. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 78', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 79', Valencia E. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 79', Nieto J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 80', Hurtado Torres Y. D. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 82', Bordacahar C. 🟨,
- 82', Rovira B. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 0, Bordacahar C. (Pen),
- 88', Bordacahar C. ↓, Deneumostier A. ↑,
- 89', Castro A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ramirez G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
42.8% | Draw
30.7% | Deportes Tolima
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBC Melgar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.98) |
3.06 ↓
(3.31) |
3.59 ↓
(3.6) |
6%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS 4
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 42.8% – 90.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
- Melgar in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Deportes Tolima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Melgar will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Melgar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Deportes Tolima?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against FBC Melgar?
Deportes Tolima has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
20.02.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
FBC Melgar
0:1
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
