Alianza Valledupar vs Deportes Tolima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau (Valledupar).

: Primera A - Clausura - Round 3

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.69
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
2	7
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
7	1
Passes
85% (391/461)	77% (256/331)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.47	0.61
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
2	7
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
8	2
Shots inside the Box
7	3
Shots outside the Box
9	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
21	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
7	1
Free Kicks
14	8
Passes
85% (391/461)	77% (256/331)
Long passes
74% (37/50)	38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
71% (110/156)	59% (47/80)
Crosses
11% (4/35)	25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	0.25
Throw-ins
16	10
Fouls
8	14
Tackles
82% (9/11)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
46	36
Clearances
8	48
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
0.61	0.47
Goals prevented
-0.37	0.47

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Fuentes J. ⚽,
38', Perez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Valencia E. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
46', Fuentes J. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
46', Velasquez S. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
58', Pardo F. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
58', Torres E. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
58', Castillo J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
61', Del Valle A. ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
62', Perez K. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
74', Mosquera F. 🟨,
77', Munoz J. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
80', Fiermarin C. 🟨,
82', Nieto J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
89', Lucumi C. 🟨,
90+1', Quinones J. 🟨,
90+5', Torres Patino J. P. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3tdhf3yf

Chances of winning

Alianza Valledupar
34.9%

Draw
31.5%

Deportes Tolima
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.8%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.6%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.4)	3.02 (3.02)	2.8 ↓ (3.05)	4.7% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 50%). Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 0.
Alianza is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportes Tolima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:42. (average 0.8:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.8:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Deportes Tolima?

Alianza Valledupar has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Alianza Valledupar?

Deportes Tolima has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima were as follows:

07.02.2025 Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar 3:1

19.10.2024 Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar 2:0

29.03.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima 0:2

22.10.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima 0:1

16.08.2023 Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar 1:0

Latest results of Alianza Valledupar

19.07.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pereira 1:0 ✺

13.07.2025 Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar 1:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 0:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Envigado 3:3 ✺

08.06.2025 Orsomarso - Alianza Valledupar 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Deportes Tolima

18.07.2025 Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima 3:2 ✺

19.06.2025 Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla 2:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima 2:1 ✺

12.06.2025 América de Cali - Deportes Tolima 1:3 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	5	4	1	0	13:5	8	13
2	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	6:1	5	11
3	Atl. Nacional	5	2	2	1	8:5	3	8
4	Fortaleza	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8
5	Deportes Tolima	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
6	Santa Fe	4	1	3	0	4:3	1	6
7	Envigado	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
8	Alianza	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
9	Chico	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
10	La Equidad	5	1	2	2	3:5	-2	5
11	Dep. Cali	5	1	2	2	4:8	-4	5
12	Dep. Pasto	2	1	1	0	5:4	1	4
13	America De Cali	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
14	Ind. Medellin	4	1	1	2	6:7	-1	4
15	Pereira	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
16	U. Magdalena	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
17	Aguilas	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2
18	Bucaramanga	2	0	1	1	3:4	-1	1
19	Once Caldas	3	0	1	2	4:7	-3	1
20	Millonarios	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz