Deportes Concepción vs Deportes Santa Cruz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Chilean Primera B Deportes Concepción - Deportes Santa Cruz
Result
1:0
04/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Ascenso - Round 19
Deportes Concepción - Deportes Santa Cruz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
67
Yellow Cards
44
Total shots
89
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
67
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Silva S. 🟨,
  • 26', Dobboletta J. 🟨,
  • 41', Rivera Faundez N. A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Moreno C. , Moreno M. ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Astete N. ,
  • 59', Sandoval R. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 59', Caroca I. , Contreras S. ,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 68', Manzo F. , Fuentes N. ,
  • 68', Morales C. , Ojeda U. ,
  • 71', Urzua D. , Carreno J. ,
  • 75', Ovalle J. , Valdivia B. ,
  • 76', Ojeda U. 🟨,
  • 77', Maturana M. , Belmar M. ,
  • 81', Pino Villalon J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Valdivia B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Larrivey J. , Escobar C. ,
  • 90+4', Castillo C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportes Concepción
43.3%
Draw
28.3%
Deportes Santa Cruz
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 26.2% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 26.9% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Concepción's form might have worsened.
  • Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Santa Cruz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Concepción, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Santa Cruz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportes Concepción - Deportes Santa Cruz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.8)
    3.26
    (3.52)
    3.23
    (4.12)
    8.7%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportes Concepción - Deportes Santa Cruz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Concepción (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Deportes Santa Cruz will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
    • Deportes Concepción has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deportes Santa Cruz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Deportes Concepción has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Deportes Santa Cruz has had a series of home games.
    • Deportes Concepción is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
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