San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Recoleta: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Chilean Primera B San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta
Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Ascenso - Round 9
San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
512
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
18
Yellow Cards
61
Red Cards
11
Total shots
512
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
39
Corner Kicks
18
Goalkeeper Saves
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Campos R. 🟨,
  • 8', 1 - 0, Abalos A. ,
  • 30', Valdes B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Servetti C. , Viveros D. ,
  • 46', Campos R. , Guerra C. ,
  • 58', Abalos A. , Caceres C. ,
  • 58', Plaza D. , Camarda M. ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Estigarribia G. ,
  • 63', Caceres C. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Ledesma F. ,
  • 70', Valdes B. , Cisterna J. ,
  • 70', Lemmo I. , Espinoza G. ,
  • 75', Cavalieri G. 🟨,
  • 76', Velazco F. , Gauna N. A. ,
  • 78', Muller I. 🟨,
  • 81', Carvajal N. , Salinas Aguilar O. ,
  • 85', Arguinarena M. , Salazar D. ,
  • 90+1', Melivilu Fuentes C. , Contreras A. ,
  • 90+4', Camarda M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Estigarribia G. 🟥,
  • 90+8', Temperini N. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Guerra C. 🟥,

Chances of winning


San Marcos de Arica
53.2%
Draw
27%
Deportes Recoleta
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 28.5% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 27.8% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.92)
    3.43
    (3.24)
    4.68
    (3.97)
    8.1%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • San Marcos de Arica is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recoleta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, San Marcos de Arica has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, San Marcos de Arica is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta were as follows:
    18.08.2024 San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta 2:1
    07.04.2024 Deportes Recoleta - San Marcos de Arica 1:2
    28.07.2023 San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta 3:2
    10.03.2023 Deportes Recoleta - San Marcos de Arica 1:1
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