San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Magallanes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Primera B San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Magallanes
28/07/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Magallanes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


San Marcos de Arica
46.6%
Draw
27.3%
Deportes Magallanes
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 26.4% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 25.3% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcos de Arica's form might have worsened.
  • Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Magallanes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos de Arica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Magallanes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Magallanes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.66)
    3.44
    (3.49)
    3.6
    (5.13)
    6.5%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 3.
    • San Marcos de Arica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Magallanes has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, San Marcos de Arica has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, San Marcos de Arica is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Magallanes were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Deportes Magallanes - San Marcos de Arica 0:1
    30.08.2024 San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Magallanes 0:1
    20.04.2024 Deportes Magallanes - San Marcos de Arica 0:2
    Latest results of San Marcos de Arica
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