Deportes La Serena vs San Luis de Quillota: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Cup Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota
Result
4:1
02/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Chile - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Philippe G. (Chi)
Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.31
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
318
Shots on target
134
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
90% (468/522)68% (195/285)
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.31
xG on target (xGOT)
3.511.23
Total shots
318
Shots on target
134
Shots off target
134
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
235
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
5215
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
68
Passes
90% (468/522)68% (195/285)
Long passes
71% (15/21)39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
81% (156/192)54% (32/59)
Crosses
50% (14/28)0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.960.56
Throw-ins
1415
Fouls
86
Tackles
64% (7/11)76% (19/25)
Duels won
4342
Clearances
2031
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
39
xGOT faced
1.233.51
Goals prevented
0.23-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Jara Gonzalez G. A. , Pinto M. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 0, Chamorro F. , Jara Gonzalez G. A. (A),
  • 33', Osorio R. 🟥,
  • 37', Juarez F. , Sarria G. ,
  • 41', Cabrera Figueroa L. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Flores F. , Araya J. ,
  • 46', Pastenes F. , Carreno M. ,
  • 46', Larrain M. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 59', Ovando L. , Gallegos S. ,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Rojas J. , Gallegos S. (A),
  • 69', 4 - 0, Gutierrez C. , Gallegos S. (A),
  • 72', Pinto M. , Zanini A. ,
  • 72', Gutierrez C. , Rivera M. ,
  • 75', Zanini A. 🟨,
  • 79', 4 - 1, Araya J. (Pen),
  • 84', Navarrete J. , Aguila Bastias Y. M. ,
  • 90+1', Rojas J. , Villarroel M. ,
  • 90+1', Moreira E. , Cordero D. ,
  • 90+4', Sanhueza Mora E. A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Gallegos S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportes La Serena
56.4%
Draw
24.8%
San Luis de Quillota
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 25.7% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 25.1% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • San Luis de Quillota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.74)
    3.74
    (3.62)
    4.83
    (4.44)
    8.4%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes La Serena: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Deportes La Serena is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota were as follows:
    06.06.2025 San Luis de Quillota - Deportes La Serena 3:1
    25.08.2024 Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota 2:0
    14.04.2024 San Luis de Quillota - Deportes La Serena 0:1
    01.10.2023 San Luis de Quillota - Deportes La Serena 5:0
    20.05.2023 Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LimacheCobreloa3 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Union La CaleraCoquimbo1 : 4, 1 : 2
    3AntofagastaS. Wanderers2 : 3, 0 : 3
    4La SerenaSan Luis4 : 1, 1 : 3
    5U. De ChileCurico Unido2 : 2, 1 : 2
    6A. ItalianoDeportes Temuco2 : 0, 2 : 1
    7NublenseMagallanes2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8HuachipatoD. Concepcion2 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1LimacheCoquimbo3 : 2, 2 : 1
    2S. WanderersLa Serena1 : 5, 2 : 4
    3Curico UnidoA. Italiano0 : 1, 0 : 1
    4NublenseHuachipato1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1LimacheLa Serena
    2A. ItalianoHuachipato
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