San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Concepción: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Chilean Primera B San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Concepción
Result
3:0
14/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Ascenso - Round 25
San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Concepción - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
30
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
00
Yellow Cards
16
Red Cards
02
Total shots
30
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Silva S. 🟨,
  • 27', Valdivia B. 🟨,
  • 40', Silva S. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Melivilu Fuentes C. ,
  • 45+3', Caceres A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Ojeda U. , Gillard A. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Velazco F. ,
  • 61', Gillard A. 🟨,
  • 62', Valdivia B. , Manzo F. ,
  • 62', Larrivey J. , Sandoval M. ,
  • 68', Rivera J. , Contreras A. ,
  • 69', Ovalle J. 🟨,
  • 73', Fernandez R. , Pereira D. ,
  • 73', Ovalle J. , Nunez F. ,
  • 75', Campos R. , Caceres C. ,
  • 77', Contreras A. 🟨,
  • 87', Velazco F. , Valenzuela C. ,
  • 87', Cubillos G. , Camarda M. ,
  • 90+1', Morales C. , Escobar C. ,
  • 90+2', Caceres A. 🟥,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Camarda M. ,

Chances of winning


San Marcos de Arica
56.8%
Draw
27.5%
Deportes Concepción
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 28.9% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 28.6% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos de Arica's performance.
  • Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-18.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marcos de Arica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Concepción Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.43)
    4.24
    (3.18)
    7.4
    (2.76)
    -14.1%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Deportes Concepción may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Deportes Concepción has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Concepción were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Deportes Concepción - San Marcos de Arica 1:0
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