Result
2:1
15/08/2026 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 51% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 67% (50/75) | 68% (38/56) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 50% (27/54) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 4/8 | 6/11 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 32% (18/56) | 33% (25/75) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 50% (20/40) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/11 | 4/8 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (70/115) | 59% (64/108) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (44/108) | 39% (45/115) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (114/223) | 49% (109/223) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 71% (12/17) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 24% (4/17) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 47% (16/34) |
Chances of winning
Rafael Jodar
68.8% | Denis Shapovalov
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Rafael Jodar - Denis Shapovalov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.28) |
|
3.08 ↓
(3.5) |
4.2%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 22.00
Preview Facts
- Jodar is ranked ATP: 11. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 48.
- Jodar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shapovalov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jodar is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jodar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Rafael Jodar won against Denis Shapovalov?
Rafael Jodar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Rafael Jodar?
Denis Shapovalov has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rafael Jodar - Denis Shapovalov were as follows:
10.02.2026
Denis Shapovalov
-
Rafael Jodar
2:0
Latest results of Rafael Jodar
Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Norrie C. | Prizmic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Fucsovics M. (RET.) | Atmane T. | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Etcheverry T. M. (26) | |
| 5 | Paul T. (18) | Bye | |
| 6 | Shimabukuro S. (LL) | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Jacquet K. (Q) | Vallejo D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Vacherot V. (15) | |
| 9 | Jodar R. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shapovalov D. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Burruchaga R. A. | Struff J-L. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Tabilo A. (22) | |
| 13 | Blockx A. (28) | Bye | |
| 14 | Navone M. | Collignon R. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Cobolli F. (7) | |
| 17 | Djokovic N. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Tirante T. A. | Choinski J. | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Landaluce M. | Draper J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Arnaldi M. (31) | |
| 21 | Darderi L. (19) | Bye | |
| 22 | Hijikata R. (WC) | Monfils G. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Svajda Z. | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Mensik J. (14) | |
| 25 | Lehecka J. (9) | Bye | |
| 26 | Droguet T. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 1 : 2 |
| 27 | Hanfmann Y. | van Assche L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Fils A. (21) | |
| 29 | Fery A. (32) | Bye | |
| 30 | Wolf J.J. (Q) | Duckworth J. | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Kopriva V. | Halys Q. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 33 | Fritz T. (6) | Bye | |
| 34 | Michelsen A. | De Jong J. | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Merida Aguilar D. | Cilic M. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Bergs Z. (30) | |
| 37 | Fonseca J. (23) | Bye | |
| 38 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Shevchenko A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | O'Connell C. (Q) | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Ruud C. (11) | |
| 41 | Rublev A. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Machac T. | Carreno-Busta P. | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Borges N. | Kokkinakis T. (PR) | 2 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Cerundolo F. (20) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (27) | Bye | |
| 46 | Kovacevic A. | Khachanov K. | 2 : 1 |
| 47 | Medjedovic H. | Trungelliti M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Medvedev D. (4) | |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Faria J. (Q) | Brooksby J. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Walton A. | Mejia N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Buse I. (29) | |
| 53 | Humbert U. (24) | Bye | |
| 54 | Marozsan F. | Zheng M. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 55 | Wong C. (Q) | Altmaier D. | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Musetti L. (10) | |
| 57 | Tien L. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Baez S. | Dimitrov G. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 59 | Shang J. (PR) | Sonego L. | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (17) | |
| 61 | Rinderknech A. (25) | Bye | |
| 62 | Lajal M. (Q) | Cerundolo J. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Royer V. | Tsitsipas S. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Norrie C. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Etcheverry T. M. (26) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Paul T. (18) | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Vallejo D. | Vacherot V. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Jodar R. (12) | Shapovalov D. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Struff J-L. | Tabilo A. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Blockx A. (28) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Kecmanovic M. | Cobolli F. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Djokovic N. (3) | Tirante T. A. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Landaluce M. | Arnaldi M. (31) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Darderi L. (19) | Hijikata R. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bellucci M. | Mensik J. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Lehecka J. (9) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Hanfmann Y. | Fils A. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fery A. (32) | Duckworth J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Halys Q. | De Minaur A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Fritz T. (6) | Michelsen A. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Merida Aguilar D. | Bergs Z. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Fonseca J. (23) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | O'Connell C. | Ruud C. (RET.) (11) | 1 : 0 |
| 21 | Rublev A. (13) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Borges N. | Cerundolo F. (20) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (27) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Trungelliti M. | Medvedev D. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Faria J. | 0 : 2 |
| 26 | Walton A. | Buse I. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Humbert U. (24) | Zheng M. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Altmaier D. | Musetti L. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Tien L. (16) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Sonego L. | Tiafoe F. (17) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Rinderknech A. (25) | Cerundolo J. M. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Tsitsipas S. | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Paul T. (18) | Vallejo D. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Jodar R. (12) | Tabilo A. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Blockx A. (28) | Cobolli F. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Tirante T. A. | Landaluce M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Hijikata R. | Mensik J. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Lehecka J. (9) | Fils A. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Fery A. (32) | De Minaur A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Fritz T. (6) | Merida Aguilar D. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Fonseca J. (23) | O'Connell C. (WO.) | |
| 11 | Rublev A. (13) | Borges N. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Nakashima B. (27) | Medvedev D. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Faria J. | Walton A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Zheng M. | Musetti L. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Tien L. (16) | Tiafoe F. (17) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Cerundolo J. M. | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Paul T. (18) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Jodar R. (12) | Cobolli F. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Tirante T. A. | Mensik J. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Fils A. (21) | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (6) | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Borges N. | Nakashima B. (27) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Faria J. | Musetti L. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Tiafoe F. (17) | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Paul T. (18) | Cobolli F. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Tirante T. A. | Fils A. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Fritz T. (6) | Nakashima B. (27) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Musetti L. (10) | Tiafoe F. (17) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cobolli F. (7) | Fils A. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. (27) | Tiafoe F. (17) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Fils A. (21) | Tiafoe F. (17) | 2 : 1 |
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